Bracketology following games of Wednesday, February 26, 2020

The current round of Bracketology is following games of Wednesday, February 26. Listed are the first games as we see them.

It should be noted the software that does this had ALL teams equally ranked to start the season.  The first rankings are done 25 days into the season, and the computer and PowerBase software used to do these rankings after each day’s games have concluded replays the prior 24 days of games plus the current day based on new information not known at the time those games were originally played.  The rankings here as a result may be considerably different from rankings elsewhere and seeds can be considerably higher or lower than they are elsewhere.

All match-ups are first round games except where the teams having to play the opening (play-in) round in Dayton are noted. The first number is seeding, second number is the PowerBase ranking going into Thursday, February 27:

*-Currently holds automatic bid.

Midwest Regional (Finals in Indianapolis 3/26-28):
Sub-Regional in Omaha 3/20-22:

1.   1.  Kansas* (1MW)              112.39 125.50 111.97 113.37 111.40  25-3  13-1  18-10 14-1   7-7  11-3  11-4  0.000
vs. winner of play-in game in Dayton Wednesday 3/18:
16. 205. St. Peter’s* (16PMW)        90.56  93.88  90.23  92.81  88.31  15-11 10-3  19-7  12-5   9-4  10-3  13-4  0.000
16. 245. North Carolina A&T* (16PMW) 88.17  86.24  89.44  91.44  84.89  15-14 11-1  16-11 11-3   9-2   7-9  10-4  0.000

8.  29.  Florida (8MW)              102.58 110.44 101.39 105.29  99.88  18-10 11-3  12-16 10-5   6-8   6-8   8-7  0.000
9.  37.  Wisconsin (9MW)            101.65 106.01 101.37 104.68  98.61  17-10 13-2  12-14 10-6   8-6   4-8   7-8  0.000

Sub-regional in Spokane 3/19-21:
4.  15.  BYU (4MW)                  105.25 114.60 103.56 108.25 102.26  23-7  15-1  17-12 12-3  10-5   7-7   9-6  0.000
13. 61.  Northern Iowa* (13MW)       99.62  92.19 101.92 102.02  97.22  24-5  16-0  18-9  13-4   9-5   9-4  10-7  0.000

5.  18.  Oregon (5MW)               104.62 104.77 106.04 107.62 101.62  21-7  15-0  15-11 10-5  10-4   5-7   5-8  0.000
12. 48.  Hofstra* (12MW)            100.69 100.13  98.50 100.94 100.44  22-7   9-3  19-7  13-3   6-3  13-4  11-3  0.000

Sub-Regional in Cleveland 3/20-22:
2.   5.  Dayton* (2MW)              108.01 115.90 108.94 109.31 106.70  26-2  15-0  14-14 15-0   8-7   6-7   7-8  0.000
15. 141. Wright St.* (15MW)          94.86  94.64  97.07  96.94  92.78  24-6  14-2  13-14 14-3   7-6   6-8   6-10 0.000

7.  26.  Liberty* (7MW)             103.62 101.94 102.47 106.30 100.94  26-3  14-0  14-10 12-2   4-7  10-3   5-7  0.000
10. 34.  Texas Tech (10MW)          101.94 116.01 101.11 104.54  99.34  18-10 13-2  13-15  9-6   7-8   6-7   8-7  0.000

Sub-Regional in Omaha 3/20-22:
3.   9.  Michigan (3MW)             106.98 113.10 103.93 108.54 105.42  18-9  11-4  16-11  9-7   9-6   7-5   9-7  0.000
14. 71.  South Dakota St.* (14MW)    98.84  96.90  96.17 101.59  96.10  22-8  16-0  18-9  13-2  10-3   8-6   9-5  0.000

6.  21.  Seton Hall* (6MW)          103.95 111.03 105.14 104.96 102.94  20-7  11-3  17-10 12-3   9-5   8-5   9-6  0.000
11. 43.  Butler (11MW)              101.40 103.60 104.76 103.62  99.19  19-9  12-3  16-12  7-8   9-6   7-6   6-9  0.000

South Regional (Finals in Houston 3/27-29):
Sub-Regional in St. Louis 3/19-21:
1.   2.  Baylor (1S)                109.13 121.34 111.01 110.15 108.11  25-2  13-1  17-9  14-1   6-7  11-2  11-4  0.000
16. 147. Ark-Little Rock* (16S)      94.33  88.11  96.08  96.50  92.16  19-9  11-2  16-10 13-4   8-4   8-6   9-7  0.000

8.  31.  Furman (8S)                102.33 109.69 100.12 104.49 100.17  24-6  14-1  14-13 14-3   4-8  10-5   9-8  0.000
9.  38.  Iowa (9S)                  101.58 104.38 103.20 105.20  97.96  19-9  13-1  17-10 10-7  11-3   6-7   9-7  0.000

Sub-regional in Tampa 3/19-21:
4.  14.  Auburn (4S)                105.30 109.26 107.54 108.60 101.99  24-4  17-0  13-15 11-4   8-9   5-6   7-8  0.000
13. 56.  Bowling Green* (13S)       100.13  97.23 100.82 102.42  97.84  21-7  13-1  11-14 12-3   3-8   8-6   6-9  0.000

5.  20.  Louisville (5S)            104.11 104.89 106.73 106.76 101.46  23-6  16-1  16-13 14-4  10-7   6-6  11-7  0.000
vs. winner of play-in game in Dayton Tueday 3/17:
12. 46.  North Carolina St. (12PS)  101.08 104.54 100.80 102.34  99.82  18-10 12-4  14-14  9-8   7-9   7-5   8-9  0.000
12. 50.  Rhode Island (12PS)        100.57 100.49 101.71 103.02  98.12  20-7  13-1  15-12 12-3   7-7   8-5  10-5  0.000

Sub-Regional in St. Louis 3/19-21:
2.   8.  Creighton (2S)             107.58 119.05 106.70 109.26 105.90  22-6  15-1  16-11 11-4   9-6   7-5  10-5  0.000
15. 115. Radford* (15S)              96.48 100.83  94.54  97.50  95.46  19-9  10-3  12-11 14-2   4-7   8-4   8-7  0.000

7.  27.  Utah St. (7S)              103.48 118.01 101.54 106.52 100.44  23-7  15-1  14-14 12-5   9-5   5-9   9-8  0.000
10. 40.  Stephen F. Austin* (10S)   101.54 103.25 100.20 102.61 100.47  25-3  14-1  15-9  16-1   7-5   8-4  11-6  0.000

Sub-Regional in Cleveland 3/20-22:
3.  10.  Kentucky (3S)              106.57 116.17 105.17 108.08 105.06  23-5  15-1  16-12 13-2   8-8   8-4  10-5  0.000
14. 78.  New Mexico St.* (14S)       98.49 113.56  99.20 100.04  96.95  22-6  12-1  11-15 13-0   5-6   6-9   6-7  0.000

6.  22.  Arizona (6S)               103.92 105.56 103.72 105.58 102.26  19-8  12-3  14-11  9-5  10-5   4-6   8-5  0.000
11. 44.  Michigan St. (11S)         101.25 103.01 102.63 103.09  99.41  19-9  11-3  12-15 11-6   9-4   3-11  7-9  0.000

East Regional (Finals at Madison Square Garden 3/27-29):
Sub-Regional in Greensboro 3/20-22:

1.   3.  Maryland* (1E)             108.45 113.04 108.21 111.51 105.39  23-5  15-0  14-13 13-4   8-7   6-6  10-7  0.000
16. 150. Murray St.* (16E)           94.10  91.83  94.45  97.04  91.15  20-8  13-0  10-12 13-3   7-2   3-10  6-6  0.000

8.  30.  West Virginia (8E)         102.51 108.14 104.61 106.40  98.63  19-9  13-1  14-14  7-8   9-5   5-9   7-8  0.000
9.  35.  Marquette (9E)             101.80 107.44 102.80 104.67  98.93  18-9  13-2  15-10  8-7   8-6   7-4   9-6  0.000

Sub-Regional in Greensboro 3/20-22:
4.  13.  Duke (4E)                  105.60 107.85 107.03 107.53 103.67  23-5  13-2  14-13 13-4   8-6   6-7   8-9  0.000
13. 58.  Yale* (13E)                 99.74  89.77 100.59 101.20  98.28  20-6   8-1  17-7   8-2   5-2  12-5   6-4  0.000

5.  19.  Colorado (5E)              104.31 105.03 104.95 105.54 103.08  21-7  13-3  12-15 11-5   6-9   6-6   8-8  0.000
vs. winner of play-in game in Dayton Wednesday 3/18:
12. 47.  Providence (12PE)          100.70 113.97  99.81 103.18  98.23  16-12 11-3  13-14  9-6   8-5   5-9   9-5  0.000
12. 49.  Indiana (12PE)             100.66 104.37 102.00 103.36  97.96  18-9  14-3  13-14  8-8  10-7   3-7   6-10 0.000

Sub-regional in Tampa 3/19-21:
2.   7.  Florida State* (2E)        107.62 107.61 108.27 110.00 105.23  24-4  15-0  15-13 14-3   7-8   8-5  10-7  0.000
15. 129. Colgate* (15E)              95.39  93.03  95.92  97.09  93.70  22-8  13-1  13-16 13-4   7-6   6-10  9-8  0.000

7.  25.  Penn St. (7E)              103.74 106.10 104.48 105.50 101.98  21-7  15-2  16-11 11-6  10-6   6-5   9-7  0.000
10. 33.  Oklahoma St. (10E)         102.08 111.85  99.77 103.81 100.35  14-14  8-6  12-16  4-11  5-9   7-7   5-10 0.000

Sub-regional in Albany, NY 3/19-21:
3.  11.  Villanova (3E)             106.25 109.67 107.69 107.83 104.67  22-6  12-2  13-14 11-4   6-8   7-6   8-7  0.000
14. 101. St. Francis-PA* (14E)       97.08  98.07  95.04  98.85  95.30  19-8  10-2  18-8  12-4   6-5  12-3   9-7  0.000

6.  24.  East Tennessee St.* (6E)   103.84 111.51 103.82 105.04 102.64  26-4  15-1  16-11 15-2   8-5   8-6  10-7  0.000
11. 41.  Cincinnati* (11E)          101.53 100.39 101.19 103.93  99.12  18-9  12-2  10-17 11-4   7-7   3-10  7-8  0.000

West Regional (Finals in Los Angeles 3/26-28):
Sub-regional in Spokane 3/19-21:
1.   4.  Gonzaga* (1W)              108.33 117.37 109.02 109.81 106.85  27-2  15-0  15-14 13-1   9-6   6-8   6-8  0.000
vs. winner of play-in game in Dayton Tuesday 3/17:
16. 168. Montana* (16PW)             92.79 104.33  93.62  95.51  90.06  17-10 12-1  11-13 13-3   6-4   5-9   9-7  0.000
16. 187. Prairie View A&M* (16PW)    91.70  90.39  90.22  94.28  89.13  16-11  9-0  14-10 12-2   2-4  12-6   6-7  0.000

8.  32.  Oklahoma (8W)              102.29 112.49 102.64 105.70  98.88  17-11 12-2  12-15  7-8   6-7   6-8   8-7  0.000
9.  36.  Houston (9W)               101.72 101.66 103.36 103.88  99.56  21-7  12-2  15-13 11-4   8-6   7-7   8-7  0.000

Sub-regional in Albany, NY 3/19-21:

4.  16.  Virginia (4W)              104.89 107.05 103.24 107.15 102.63  19-8  12-3   9-17 11-6   5-10  4-7   8-8  0.000
13. 51.  Vermont* (13W)             100.54  97.50  99.28 100.30 100.79  22-7  10-3  17-11 12-2   8-4   9-7   9-5  0.000

5.  17.  Ohio St. (5W)              104.77 111.07 104.03 107.24 102.31  18-9  14-3  14-11  8-8  10-5   4-6   6-9  0.000
12. 45.  UCLA (12W)                 101.08 111.08  99.19 101.92 100.25  17-11 11-4  15-13 10-5   8-7   7-6   9-6  0.000

Sub-Regional in Sacramento 3/20-22:
2.   6.  San Diego St.* (2W)        107.71 116.00 110.37 108.64 106.77  27-1  14-1  17-9  16-1   5-8  12-1  10-6  0.000
15. 113. North Texas* (15W)          96.55  94.73  96.53  97.90  95.21  18-10 12-3  19-7  12-3  11-2   8-5  11-4  0.000

7.  28.  Richmond (7W)              103.34 100.01 101.66 105.05 101.63  21-7  12-2  15-13 11-4   9-5   6-8   9-6  0.000
10. 39.  Notre Dame (10W)           101.56 106.96  99.31 103.17  99.94  18-10 14-3  15-12  9-8   9-7   6-5  10-7  0.000

Sub-Regional in Sacramento 3/20-22:
3.  12.  Arizona St.* (3W)          105.74 109.76 103.63 107.59 103.90  19-8  12-3  14-12 10-5   7-8   7-4   8-6  0.000
14. 83.  UC-Irvine* (14W)            98.28 101.64  96.50 100.41  96.14  19-10 11-2  15-11 11-2   7-4   8-7   8-4  0.000

6.  23.  Xavier (6W)                103.88 110.08 102.54 105.32 102.44  18-10 12-4  10-17  7-8   5-10  5-7   6-8  0.000
11. 42.  St. Mary’s (11W)           101.52 106.71 102.66 102.61 100.44  23-6  16-3  14-14 10-4   8-10  6-4   8-6  0.000

BYU due to religious beliefs must be slotted in a Thursday-Saturday regional (Indianapolis or Los Angeles) and before it a Thursday-Saturday sub-regional.  BYU is not allowed to play on Sundays and is why the west regional is always Thursday-Saturday.

Houston must play in the Midwest or West regional because they are the host school for the South Regional.

Creighton must play in a Thursday-Saturday sub-regional because they host a Friday-Sunday sub-regional

Oklahoma State and Texas Tech both were dropped one seed line because Big 12 schools were on the 1 or 8 line in all four regions and they can’t play any of them until at least the regional semifinals. Wisconsin and Iowa were moved up one seed line as a result.

The University of St. Louis can play in the St. Louis sub-regional because they are NOT the host school for that sub-regional

Butler University can play in the Midwest Regional because they are NOT the host school for that regional.

Gonzaga can play in a Spokane sub-regional because they are NOT the host school for that sub-regional AND it’s NOT their primary home floor.

Dayton can play in the “first four” on their home floor and is the only allowable such instance.

Multiple Bids By Conference:
Big Ten (8)
Big East (7)
ACC (6)
Big 12 (6)
Pac-12 (5)
SEC (3)
Atlantic 10 (3)
West Coast (3)
Mountain West (2)
American (2)
Southern (2)

Last four in field that do not have to play a play-in game:
42.  St. Mary’s (11W)           101.52 106.71 102.66 102.61 100.44  23-6  16-3  14-14 10-4   8-10  6-4   8-6  0.000
43.  Butler (11MW)              101.40 103.60 104.76 103.62  99.19  19-9  12-3  16-12  7-8   9-6   7-6   6-9  0.000
44.  Michigan St. (11S)         101.25 103.01 102.63 103.09  99.41  19-9  11-3  12-15 11-6   9-4   3-11  7-9  0.000
45.  UCLA (12W)                 101.08 111.08  99.19 101.92 100.25  17-11 11-4  15-13 10-5   8-7   7-6   9-6  0.000

Last four at-large in field that must play a play-in game:
46.  North Carolina St. (12PS)  101.08 104.54 100.80 102.34  99.82  18-10 12-4  14-14  9-8   7-9   7-5   8-9  0.000
47.  Providence (12PE)          100.70 113.97  99.81 103.18  98.23  16-12 11-3  13-14  9-6   8-5   5-9   9-5  0.000
49.  Indiana (12PE)             100.66 104.37 102.00 103.36  97.96  18-9  14-3  13-14  8-8  10-7   3-7   6-10 0.000
50.  Rhode Island (12PS)        100.57 100.49 101.71 103.02  98.12  20-7  13-1  15-12 12-3   7-7   8-5  10-5  0.000

First four out:
52.  Akron                      100.54  98.70 100.56 101.70  99.37  21-7  13-2  14-12 11-4   6-7   8-5   8-7  0.000
53.  Nevada                     100.41 108.30  98.85 103.21  97.61  19-10 12-2  16-12 12-5   8-6   8-6   9-7  0.000
54.  Mississippi St.            100.40 107.83 100.79 103.06  97.73  18-10 13-3  14-12  9-6   8-8   6-4   8-7  0.000
55.  Stanford                   100.34  98.99 102.09 101.90  98.79  19-9  14-4  18-10  8-7  11-7   7-3   9-6  0.000

Next four out:
57.  Belmont                     99.84 100.57  97.58 101.26  98.42  22-7  12-1  17-11 13-3  10-2   7-9  11-5  0.000
59.  Pacific                     99.71 107.12  98.22 101.51  97.91  21-9  15-3  13-15  9-5   6-10  7-5   8-6  0.000
60.  Clemson                     99.69 103.30  98.09 101.56  97.81  14-13 10-5  15-12  8-9   8-7   7-5   8-9  0.000
62.  UConn                       99.57  99.88  97.05 102.72  96.43  16-12 13-3  15-12  7-8   8-7   7-5   6-9  0.000

Third set of four out:
63.  USC                         99.42  97.18 102.39 101.81  97.04  19-9  12-2  15-11  8-7   7-7   8-4  10-4  0.000
64.  Syracuse                    99.42  99.62  99.03  99.98  98.85  16-12 11-6  13-14  9-8   6-10  7-4  10-7  0.000
65.  LSU                         99.37 104.74 102.68 101.92  96.81  19-9  13-2  12-16 10-5   6-9   6-7   4-11 0.000
66.  Georgia Tech                99.25 102.18  97.75 100.75  97.75  14-14  8-6  17-10  8-9   8-5   9-5  10-7  0.000

Fourth set of four out:
67.  Arkansas                    99.17 100.42 100.79 101.09  97.24  18-10 14-4  14-14  6-9  10-8   4-6   6-9  0.000
68.  Buffalo                     99.05  96.85  97.43  99.75  98.34  18-10 10-5  12-15  9-6   6-8   6-7   7-8  0.000
69.  Wichita St.                 98.91  95.98 102.81 100.95  96.86  20-7  15-2  14-11  8-6   8-7   6-4   6-7  0.000
70.  Duquesne                    98.87  95.24  98.83  99.83  97.91  19-8  10-3  12-15  9-6   6-7   6-8   7-8  0.000

 

 

 

 

 

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