FINAL Bracketology #2: How The ELO Chess System Would Have Determined The Field of 68 For The 2019 NCAA Tournament

(Note: FINAL 2019 Bracketology #1: Re-seeding The NCAA Tournament using the Selection Committee’s Selections (Power Base Quick Pick can be seen by clicking this link)

For this Bracketology, The first round games are as we see them had The ELO Chess System chosen the field of 68. Their actual seed and placement is noted in parentheses as well as where they would have gone had ELO determined the seedings for the actual field of 68 (actual seed is first followed by what would have been their seed if ELO Chess determined that).

As was the case in the past, the rankings are done via PowerBase Software that uses the ELO Chess system for ratings, crunching the numbers with the most recent 25 days of games given the most weight, which is why we have some schools considerably higher and others considerably lower than others. While some human element is used (especially with conference leaders), generally, the ratings dictate the seedings.

All match-ups are first round games except where the teams having to play the opening (play-in) round in Dayton are noted:

Conference leader in parentheses that are shown currently hold automatic bid with such.

(NOTE: All Data this comes from is available on Patreon where you can download the 2019 NCAA Tournament Pool Kit (including data for ALL 353 NCAA Division I men’s schools) at: https://www.patreon.com/posts/2019-ncaa-mens-25473912, FINAL Regular Season Data is available on Patreon at: https://www.patreon.com/posts/final-2018-19-25286835).

*-Won Conference Tournament and Automatic Bid (NOT a #1 seed)
*+-Won Regular season but is an at-large
**+-#1 Seed that is an at-large that won Regular Season Title)
**-Won Regular Season Title and Conference Tournament (NOT a #1 Seed)
***-At Large Bid
**++-At-large AND #1 Seed
+- Won Regular Season Championship but did not win conference tournament AND is in the NIT.
++-#1 Seed and won conference tournament
+++-NOT in actual NCAA field but would have been in the field if Power Base using the ELO CHESS System determined such (Seeds noted here in parentheses are first actual tournament seed AND how field would have been seeded if PowerBase using the ELO CHESS System seeded the actual field of 68).

East Regional (Finals in Washington DC 3/29-31):
Sub-Regional in Columbia, SC 3/22-24:
1. 1. Virginia**+ (1S, 1E) 113.86 115.80 114.03 114.72 112.99 29-3 15-1 21-10 17-3 9-7 12-3 12-7 0.000
vs. winner of play-in game in Dayton Tues. 3/19:
16. 191. Prairie View A&M* (16PW, 16PE)89.99 89.32 88.42 91.22 88.75 22-12 11-0 19-12 20-1 6-4 13-8 15-5 0.000
16. 267. NC-Central* (16PE, 16PE) 85.84 81.45 82.81 88.12 83.57 18-15 10-2 18-11 13-6 5-3 13-8 12-6 0.000

8. 30. Washington*+ (9MW, 7MW) 103.45 87.47 104.63 104.89 102.02 26-8 15-2 17-16 17-4 9-7 8-9 13-8 0.000
9. 33. Seton Hall*** (10MW, 8S) 102.98 103.85 102.25 105.91 100.05 20-13 13-5 17-15 11-10 8-9 9-6 11-10 0.000

Sub-Regional in Des Moines 3/21-23:
4. 13. Auburn* (5MW, 4E) 107.14 107.78 105.26 110.05 104.24 26-9 15-2 18-15 15-7 10-5 8-10 12-10 0.000
13. 66. Murray St.* (12W, 12E) 99.58 110.79 98.96 100.98 98.19 27-4 15-1 18-11 18-2 7-7 11-4 12-8 0.000

5. 18. Buffalo** (6W, 5E) 106.04 116.35 105.84 107.14 104.94 31-3 14-0 18-13 19-2 7-5 11-8 10-10 0.000
12. 44. Providence+++ (N/A) 101.99 101.01 99.24 102.54 101.43 18-15 11-6 15-18 8-12 7-10 8-8 8-12 0.000
(Note: Due to Seeding Rules, Providence is one seed lower than they would have been otherwise)

Sub-Regional in Columbus 3/22-24:
2. 6. Michigan*** (2W, 2E) 108.27 110.86 109.66 110.24 106.30 28-6 17-1 18-16 17-6 8-10 10-6 14-9 0.000
15. 127. North Dakota St.* (16PE, 15E)94.27 88.31 91.72 96.32 92.21 18-15 10-3 16-15 12-7 8-3 8-12 11-8 0.000

7. 25. VCU*+ (8E, 7E) 104.00 101.01 103.75 106.02 101.98 25-7 16-1 20-10 16-3 10-5 10-5 13-6 0.000
10. 39. West Virginia+++ (N/A) 102.40 104.91 97.53 105.48 99.33 14-20 10-6 11-23 6-15 7-9 4-14 9-12 0.000

Sub-regional in Hartford 3/21-23:
3. 11. Villanova** (6S, 3E) 107.43 107.31 106.31 110.64 104.23 25-9 13-2 18-15 16-5 7-7 11-8 11-10 0.000
14. 96. Vermont** (13W, 14E) 96.64 98.17 98.85 97.98 95.31 27-6 16-2 19-11 17-2 11-5 8-6 11-8 0.000

6. 23. Iowa St.*** (6S, 6E) 104.86 105.55 105.26 106.25 103.46 23-11 12-4 19-15 12-9 9-7 10-8 11-10 0.000
vs. winner of play-in game in Dayton Tues 3/19:
11. 45. UCF*** (9E, 10E) 101.53 102.84 101.47 104.28 98.79 23-8 15-2 17-13 13-6 8-8 9-5 10-9 0.000
11. 48. Florida*** (10W, 10MW) 101.37 99.64 100.43 102.18 100.56 19-15 10-6 15-18 11-10 4-12 11-6 9-11 0.000

South Regional (Finals in Louisville 3/28-30):
Sub-regional in Columbia, SC 3/22-24:
1. 2. North Carolina++** (1MW, 1S)112.74 121.04 110.30 113.79 111.69 27-6 14-2 23-10 17-3 10-6 13-4 14-6 0.000
vs. winner of play-in game in Dayton Wed. 3/20:
16. 157. Abilene Christian* (15MW, 16PMW)92.18 84.28 92.09 92.84 91.53 27-6 13-2 14-13 16-4 4-5 10-8 9-10 0.000
16. 171. Fairleigh Dickinson* (16PW, 16PS)91.17 97.13 88.35 92.87 89.47 20-13 13-4 18-12 15-6 7-8 11-4 12-9 0.000

8. 31. Indiana+++ (N/A) 103.26 104.13 100.44 105.42 101.09 17-15 13-5 15-17 8-13 9-9 6-8 9-12 0.000
9. 34. Marquette*** (5W, 8E) 102.91 100.87 104.98 103.84 101.97 24-9 16-3 18-15 13-7 11-8 7-7 11-9 0.000

Sub-Regional in Salt Lake City 3/21-23:
4. 16. Wisconsin*** (5S, 4S) 106.13 105.94 106.00 107.64 104.62 23-10 12-3 16-17 15-7 7-8 9-9 10-12 0.000
13. 89. Old Dominion** (14S) 96.84 96.38 97.67 98.66 95.02 26-8 14-2 12-20 16-5 7-7 5-13 4-16 0.000

5. 19. Cincinnati* (7S, 5S) 105.60 104.33 105.78 107.49 103.70 28-6 16-2 14-20 17-4 7-11 7-9 7-14 0.000
12. 49. Saint Mary’s* (11S, 11MW) 101.36 103.36 98.77 103.23 99.49 22-11 14-3 18-14 13-5 10-6 8-8 9-9 0.000

Sub-regional in Tulsa 3/22-24:
2. 5. Texas Tech*+ (3W, 2S) 108.75 114.00 107.92 110.58 106.91 26-6 17-1 16-16 14-5 9-9 7-7 11-8 0.000
15. 131. Bradley*** (15E, 15S) 94.06 96.19 93.01 95.21 92.92 20-14 10-6 15-16 12-9 5-10 10-6 11-9 0.000

7. 26. Arizona St.*** (11PW, 7S) 103.98 90.20 103.97 105.75 102.21 22-10 13-3 16-15 13-7 8-7 8-8 11-9 0.000
10. 40. New Mexico St.** (12MW, 9E)102.33 115.61 101.21 103.82 100.84 30-4 16-1 17-14 18-1 6-8 11-6 9-10 0.000

Sub-Regional in Jacksonville 3/21-23:
3. 10. Tennessee*** (2S, 3S) 107.53 107.76 108.75 110.02 105.05 29-5 18-0 17-14 17-4 8-7 9-7 11-10 0.000
14. 113. Liberty* (12E, 15W) 95.22 95.32 95.74 95.64 94.81 28-6 17-2 17-14 17-2 6-10 11-4 9-10 0.000

6. 24. Utah St.* (8MW, 6S) 104.72 98.70 102.48 106.18 103.27 28-6 14-1 19-13 18-3 10-4 9-9 10-10 0.000
11. 41. Clemson+++ (N/A) 102.32 104.98 100.25 104.50 100.14 19-13 13-4 14-18 9-10 8-9 6-9 10-9 0.000
Midwest Regional (Finals in Kansas City 3/29-31):
Sub-Regional in Des Moines 3/21-23:
1. 3. Michigan St.** (2E, 1NW) 111.75 114.81 110.60 113.66 109.84 28-6 15-1 25-9 19-4 12-4 13-5 17-6 0.000
16. 133. Northern Kentucky* (14W, 16MW)94.00 88.91 95.74 96.22 91.78 26-8 17-1 13-19 16-5 7-9 6-10 10-11 0.000

8. 29. Creighton+++ (N/A) 103.60 111.10 100.67 105.09 102.11 18-14 11-6 16-15 9-10 8-8 8-7 10-9 0.000
9. 36. Louisville*** (7E, 9MW) 102.60 95.88 103.48 104.62 100.57 20-13 14-4 17-14 11-9 8-8 9-6 11-9 0.000

Sub-Regional in Salt Lake City 3/21-23:
4. 17. Houston*+ (3MW, 4MW) 106.06 104.95 107.82 106.82 105.29 31-3 19-1 18-14 18-3 8-10 10-4 12-9 0.000
13. 61. Saint Louis* (13E, 12MW) 100.15 100.03 98.67 103.08 97.23 23-12 15-3 17-18 14-8 9-9 8-9 12-10 0.000
(Note: Due to Seed Rules, Houston is one seed line higher than they would have been otherwise)

5. 20. VA Tech*** (4E) 105.40 111.76 104.92 107.53 103.28 24-8 14-2 17-14 13-7 9-7 8-7 8-11 0.000
12. 51. Northeastern* (13MW, 11E) 101.10 98.00 98.85 102.79 99.42 23-10 11-2 18-14 17-4 7-6 11-8 14-6 0.000

Sub-Regional in Jacksonville 3/21/23:
2. 8. Florida St.*** (4W, 2MW) 107.63 118.02 107.78 110.36 104.91 27-7 15-1 15-19 15-6 7-9 8-10 11-10 0.000
15. 108. Colgate** (15S, 15MW) 95.62 95.95 94.62 97.89 93.35 24-10 15-1 18-15 16-5 9-6 9-9 12-9 0.000

7. 28. Xavier+++ (N/A) 103.60 106.97 100.05 105.53 101.68 18-15 12-5 16-16 10-10 7-9 9-7 12-8 0.0008S1
10. 37. Wofford** (7MW, 9S) 102.54 120.61 102.06 103.57 101.50 29-4 15-1 20-10 21-0 6-7 14-3 15-6 0.000

Sub-Regional in Tulsa 3/22-24:
3. 9. Kansas St.*** (4S, 3MW) 107.60 110.89 106.47 109.16 106.04 25-8 13-2 19-13 15-5 6-8 13-5 14-6 0.000
14. 89. Old Dominion** (14S, 13S) 96.84 96.38 97.67 98.66 95.02 26-8 14-2 12-20 16-5 7-7 5-13 4-16 0.000

6. 21. LSU*+ (3E, 6W) 105.20 104.29 106.03 105.56 104.84 26-6 15-2 20-12 16-3 8-9 12-3 13-6 0.000
11. 42. Colorado+++ (N/A) 102.18 86.08 99.74 105.38 98.97 21-12 13-2 17-15 12-9 11-3 6-12 11-10 0.000
West Regional (Finals in Anaheim 3/28-30):
Sub-Regional in Hartford 3/21-23:
1. 4. Duke++ (1E, 1W) 111.18 116.63 112.55 112.37 109.99 29-5 16-2 18-15 17-4 10-7 8-8 9-11 0.000
16. 141. Gardner-Webb* (16S, 16W) 93.44 87.27 91.98 95.97 90.90 23-11 14-0 18-13 14-6 6-5 12-8 11-9 0.000

8. 32. Oklahoma*** (9S, 8MW) 103.15 104.80 103.06 105.81 100.50 19-13 11-4 18-12 7-12 9-6 9-6 7-11 0.000
9. 35. Maryland*** (6E, 8W) 102.88 99.25 104.37 105.08 100.67 22-10 16-3 17-15 13-8 10-9 7-6 13-8 0.000

Sub-Regional in San Jose 3/22-24:
4. 14. Oregon* (12S, 4W) 106.51 93.23 102.53 108.56 104.45 23-12 13-4 17-17 14-8 7-9 10-8 13-9 0.000
13. 86. Yale* (14E, 13W) 97.01 90.69 99.67 98.69 95.34 22-7 12-2 15-12 12-4 9-4 6-8 9-6 0.000

5. 15. Kansas*** (4MW, 5W) 106.30 108.86 108.41 110.68 101.92 25-9 18-0 14-19 14-7 9-8 5-11 9-11 0.000
vs. winner of play-in game in Dayton Wed 3/20:
12. 46. Syracuse*** (9W, 10S) 101.47 103.09 101.80 102.03 100.91 20-13 13-6 19-14 11-9 10-9 9-5 13-7 0.000
12. 47. Dayton+++ (N/A) 101.44 99.52 99.91 101.55 101.33 21-11 13-4 16-15 13-6 7-9 9-6 10-9 0.000
(Note: Due to seed rules, Kansas is one seed line lower than they would have been otherwise)

Sub-regional in San Jose 3/22-24:
2. 7. Gonzaga**+ (1W, 2W) 107.99 107.21 108.86 109.58 106.41 30-3 17-0 21-11 17-1 13-3 8-8 10-7 0.000
15. 112. Montana** (15W, 14S) 95.25 87.24 95.84 95.95 94.54 26-8 11-2 14-17 19-4 4-7 10-10 11-11 0.000

7. 27. UC-Irvine** (13S, 7W) 103.61 99.89 101.04 103.99 103.22 30-5 12-2 20-13 18-1 8-4 12-9 12-6 0.000
10. 38. Nevada*+ (7W, 9W) 102.49 91.35 105.88 104.90 100.08 29-4 15-0 17-15 16-4 9-5 8-10 10-10 0.000

Sub-Regional in Columbus 3/22-24:
3. 12. Kentucky*** (2MW) 107.18 106.31 108.99 109.08 105.28 27-6 17-1 16-17 16-4 8-10 8-7 9-11 0.000
14. 102. Iona** (16MW, 14W) 96.03 101.39 90.63 97.76 94.29 17-15 8-3 14-17 15-6 6-5 8-12 13-8 0.000

6. 22. Purdue*** (3S, 6W) 104.99 106.90 105.46 107.44 102.55 23-9 15-0 18-14 16-5 11-4 7-10 11-10 0.000
11. 43. Mississippi St.*** (5E, 10W)102.08 103.11 103.30 103.89 100.27 23-10 15-3 16-14 11-9 8-7 8-7 10-8 0.000

One significant rule change this year: Whereas in the past teams hosting a sub-regional or regional could not play on the same days as said regional, that rule has been rescinded for 2019 and such may now play on the same day they are hosting a sub-regional or regional (this will allow BYU in future years to host a sub-regional or regional).

There is no mention anywhere, and especially in this official article from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com/news/basketball-men/article/2018-10-19/how-field-68-teams-picked-march-madness) of whether or not a team with a losing record can be an at-large.

BYU due to religious beliefs must be slotted in a Thursday-Saturday regional (Louisville or Anaheim) and before it a Thursday-Saturday sub-regional. BYU is not allowed to play on Sundays and is why the west regional is always Thursday-Saturday.

Dayton can play in the “first four” on their home floor and except for the final four is the only allowable such instance.

Schools NOT in the NCAA Tournament that WOULD HAVE BEEN IN if the ELO Chess System chose the field (Seed number to the left):
7. 28. Xavier+++ (N/A) 103.60 106.97 100.05 105.53 101.68 18-15 12-5 16-16 10-10 7-9 9-7 12-8 0.000
8. 29. Creighton+++ (N/A) 103.60 111.10 100.67 105.09 102.11 18-14 11-6 16-15 9-10 8-8 8-7 10-9 0.000
8. 31. Indiana+++ (N/A) 103.26 104.13 100.44 105.42 101.09 17-15 13-5 15-17 8-13 9-9 6-8 9-12 0.000
10. 39. West Virginia+++ (N/A) 102.40 104.91 97.53 105.48 99.33 14-20 10-6 11-23 6-15 7-9 4-14 9-12 0.000
11. 41. Clemson+++ (N/A) 102.32 104.98 100.25 104.50 100.14 19-13 13-4 14-18 9-10 8-9 6-9 10-9 0.000
11. 42. Colorado+++ (N/A) 102.18 86.08 99.74 105.38 98.97 21-12 13-2 17-15 12-9 11-3 6-12 11-10 0.000
12. 44. Providence+++ (N/A) 101.99 101.01 99.24 102.54 101.43 18-15 11-6 15-18 8-12 7-10 8-8 8-12 0.000
12P. 47. Dayton+++ (N/A) 101.44 99.52 99.91 101.55 101.33 21-11 13-4 16-15 13-6 7-9 9-6 10-9 0.000

Schools in the NCAA Tournament that would NOT have been in the field had the ELO Chess system selected and seeded the field:
50. Iowa*** (10S, 11W) 101.15 94.68 103.86 103.18 99.11 22-11 14-4 13-20 11-11 6-12 7-8 8-14 0.000
53. Minnesota*** (10E, 11S) 101.08 103.63 102.03 104.59 97.58 21-13 14-3 18-16 11-12 9-8 9-8 13-10 0.000
54. Temple*** (11PE, 12W) 101.02 95.85 102.21 103.07 98.97 23-9 13-2 18-13 13-6 7-8 11-5 12-7 0.000
69. Baylor*** (9W, 13MW) 99.39 99.42 101.27 100.35 98.42 19-13 12-5 16-14 10-9 7-9 9-5 9-8 0.000
71. Belmont*+ (11PE, 13PE) 99.00 108.39 99.72 100.26 97.74 26-5 13-1 16-10 17-3 6-4 10-6 11-6 0.000
74. Ohio St.*** (11MW, 13PE) 98.70 95.58 100.90 99.94 97.46 19-14 12-6 14-19 9-13 5-13 9-6 10-12 0.000
85. Ole Miss*** (8S, 14PMW) 97.18 92.30 100.59 98.10 96.27 20-12 12-5 23-9 10-9 12-5 11-4 12-7 0.000
98. St. John’s*** (11PW, 14PMW) 96.47 96.17 101.35 98.72 94.22 21-12 16-5 15-18 9-11 9-12 6-6 11-9 0.000
Officially IN the field of 68 as Conference Tournament Champion:
3. Michigan St.** (2E, 1MW) 111.75 114.81 110.60 113.66 109.84 28-6 15-1 25-9 19-4 12-4 13-5 17-6 0.000
4. Duke++ (1E, 1W) 111.18 116.63 112.55 112.37 109.99 29-5 16-2 18-15 17-4 10-7 8-8 9-11 0.000
11. Villanova** (6S, 3E) 107.43 107.31 106.31 110.64 104.23 25-9 13-2 18-15 16-5 7-7 11-8 11-10 0.000
13. Auburn* (5MW, 4E) 107.14 107.78 105.26 110.05 104.24 26-9 15-2 18-15 15-7 10-5 8-10 12-10 0.000
14. Oregon* (12S, 4W) 106.51 93.23 102.53 108.56 104.45 23-12 13-4 17-17 14-8 7-9 10-8 13-9 0.000
17. Houston*+ (3MW, 4MW) 106.06 104.95 107.82 106.82 105.29 31-3 19-1 18-14 18-3 8-10 10-4 12-9 0.000
18. Buffalo** (6W, 5E) 106.04 116.35 105.84 107.14 104.94 31-3 14-0 18-13 19-2 7-5 11-8 10-10 0.000
23. Iowa St.* (6S, 6E) 104.86 105.55 105.26 106.25 103.46 23-11 12-4 19-15 12-9 9-7 10-8 11-10 0.000
24. Utah St.* (8MW, 6S) 104.72 98.70 102.48 106.18 103.27 28-6 14-1 19-13 18-3 10-4 9-9 10-10 0.000
27. UC-Irvine** (13S,7W) 103.61 99.89 101.04 103.99 103.22 30-5 12-2 20-13 18-1 8-4 12-9 12-6 0.000
37. Wofford** (7MW, 9S) 102.54 120.61 102.06 103.57 101.50 29-4 15-1 20-10 21-0 6-7 14-3 15-6 0.000
40. New Mexico St.** (12MW, 9E)102.33 115.61 101.21 103.82 100.84 30-4 16-1 17-14 18-1 6-8 11-6 9-10 0.000
49. Saint Mary’s* (11S, 11MW) 101.36 103.36 98.77 103.23 99.49 22-11 14-3 18-14 13-5 10-6 8-8 9-9 0.000
51. Northeastern* (13MW, 11E) 101.10 98.00 98.85 102.79 99.42 23-10 11-2 18-14 17-4 7-6 11-8 14-6 0.000
61. Saint Louis* (13E, 12MW) 100.15 100.03 98.67 103.08 97.23 23-12 15-3 17-18 14-8 9-9 8-9 12-10 0.000
66. Murray St.* (12W, 12E) 99.58 110.79 98.96 100.98 98.19 27-4 15-1 18-11 18-2 7-7 11-4 12-8 0.000
76. Georgia St.** (14MW, 12S) 98.22 94.50 97.80 100.94 95.50 24-9 13-1 16-15 15-5 7-6 9-9 11-9 0.000
86. Yale* (14E, 13W) 97.01 90.69 99.67 98.69 95.34 22-7 12-2 15-12 12-4 9-4 6-8 9-6 0.000
89. Old Dominion** (14S, 13S) 96.84 96.38 97.67 98.66 95.02 26-8 14-2 12-20 16-5 7-7 5-13 4-16 0.000
96. Vermont** (13W, 14E) 96.64 98.17 98.85 97.98 95.31 27-6 16-2 19-11 17-2 11-5 8-6 11-8 0.000
102. Iona** (16MW, 14W) 96.03 101.39 90.63 97.76 94.29 17-15 8-3 14-17 15-6 6-5 8-12 13-8 0.000
108. Colgate** (15S, 15MW) 95.62 95.95 94.62 97.89 93.35 24-10 15-1 18-15 16-5 9-6 9-9 12-9 0.000
112. Montana** (15W, 14S) 95.25 87.24 95.84 95.95 94.54 26-8 11-2 14-17 19-4 4-7 10-10 11-11 0.000
113. Liberty* (12E, 15W) 95.22 95.32 95.74 95.64 94.81 28-6 17-2 17-14 17-2 6-10 11-4 9-10 0.000
127. North Dakota St.* (16PE, 15E)94.27 88.31 91.72 96.32 92.21 18-15 10-3 16-15 12-7 8-3 8-12 11-8 0.000
131. Bradley*** (15E, 15S) 94.06 96.19 93.01 95.21 92.92 20-14 10-6 15-16 12-9 5-10 10-6 11-9 0.000
133. Northern Kentucky* (14W, 16MW)94.00 88.91 95.74 96.22 91.78 26-8 17-1 13-19 16-5 7-9 6-10 10-11 0.000
141. Gardner-Webb* (16S, 16W) 93.44 87.27 91.98 95.97 90.90 23-11 14-0 18-13 14-6 6-5 12-8 11-9 0.000
157. Abilene Christian* (15MW, 16PMW)92.18 84.28 92.09 92.84 91.53 27-6 13-2 14-13 16-4 4-5 10-8 9-10 0.000
171. Fairleigh Dickinson* (16PW, 16PS)91.17 97.13 88.35 92.87 89.47 20-13 13-4 18-12 15-6 7-8 11-4 12-9 0.000
191. Prairie View A&M* (16PW, 16PE)89.99 89.32 88.42 91.22 88.75 22-12 11-0 19-12 20-1 6-4 13-8 15-5 0.000
267. NC-Central* (16PE, 16PE) 85.84 81.45 82.81 88.12 83.57 18-15 10-2 18-11 13-6 5-3 13-8 12-6 0.000
Conference Champions that failed to win their conference tournaments (if in tourney, seeds as noted above in parentheses):
1. Virginia**+ (1S, 1E) 113.86 115.80 114.03 114.72 112.99 29-3 15-1 21-10 17-3 9-7 12-3 12-7 0.000
5. Texas Tech*+ (3W, 2MW) 108.75 114.00 107.92 110.58 106.91 26-6 17-1 16-16 14-5 9-9 7-7 11-8 0.000
7. Gonzaga**+ (1W, 2W) 107.99 107.21 108.86 109.58 106.41 30-3 17-0 21-11 17-1 13-3 8-8 10-7 0.000
17. Houston*+ (3MW, 4MW) 106.06 104.95 107.82 106.82 105.29 31-3 19-1 18-14 18-3 8-10 10-4 12-9 0.000
21. LSU*+ (3E, 6MW) 105.20 104.29 106.03 105.56 104.84 26-6 15-2 20-12 16-3 8-9 12-3 13-6 0.000
25. VCU*+ (8E, 7E) 104.00 101.01 103.75 106.02 101.98 25-7 16-1 20-10 16-3 10-5 10-5 13-6 0.000
30. Washington*+ (9MW, 7MW) 103.45 87.47 104.63 104.89 102.02 26-8 15-2 17-16 17-4 9-7 8-9 13-8 0.000
38. Nevada*+ (7W, 9W) 102.49 91.35 105.88 104.90 100.08 29-4 15-0 17-15 16-4 9-5 8-10 10-10 0.000
71. Belmont*+ (11PE, 13PE) 99.00 108.39 99.72 100.26 97.74 26-5 13-1 16-10 17-3 6-4 10-6 11-6 0.000
82. Hofstra+ 97.60 87.08 99.55 99.13 96.06 27-7 15-1 18-15 17-4 8-7 10-8 8-13 0.000
99. Harvard+ 96.32 95.60 96.62 98.42 94.21 18-11 9-2 14-12 11-5 5-4 9-8 8-7 0.000
101. South Dakota St.+ 96.14 87.40 96.19 98.69 93.59 24-8 14-1 14-17 14-3 6-8 8-9 7-10 0.000
106. Loyola-Chicago+ 95.70 96.97 94.85 98.09 93.32 20-13 13-4 14-18 13-7 8-8 6-10 10-10 0.000
130. Wright St.+ 94.10 91.19 92.64 97.06 91.15 21-13 15-2 18-13 15-6 10-4 8-9 13-7 0.000
136. Lipscomb+ 93.60 90.29 96.57 94.01 93.18 25-7 14-3 13-15 16-3 4-10 9-5 6-12 0.000
163. Campbell+ 91.76 88.55 89.62 94.81 88.71 20-12 12-2 17-11 13-5 7-4 10-7 12-6 0.000
232. Sam Houston St.+ 87.74 78.98 89.76 88.72 86.75 21-11 13-2 19-10 16-3 7-5 12-5 12-7 0.000
247. St. Francis-PA+ 86.92 86.98 87.70 88.44 85.41 18-14 12-4 13-16 14-7 5-9 8-7 10-11 0.000
249. Norfolk St.+ 86.76 78.98 87.89 88.45 85.08 21-13 11-2 16-13 16-3 6-4 10-9 10-8 0.000

Multiple Bids By Conference (ELO Chess Version):
ACC (8)
Big 10 (6)
SEC (6)
Big 12 (6)
Big East (6)
Pac-12 (4)
American (3)
Atlantic 10 (3)
Mountain West (2)
West Coast Conference (2)

Last four in field that did not have to play in the first round in Dayton (+++-not in actual NCAA Tournament):
41. Clemson+++ (N/A) 102.32 104.98 100.25 104.50 100.14 19-13 13-4 14-18 9-10 8-9 6-9 10-9 0.000
42. Colorado+++ (N/A) 102.18 86.08 99.74 105.38 98.97 21-12 13-2 17-15 12-9 11-3 6-12 11-10 0.000
43. Mississippi St.*** (5E, 10W)102.08 103.11 103.30 103.89 100.27 23-10 15-3 16-14 11-9 8-7 8-7 10-8 0.000
44. Providence+++ (N/A) 101.99 101.01 99.24 102.54 101.43 18-15 11-6 15-18 8-12 7-10 8-8 8-12 0.000

Last four at-large in field that played in the first round in Dayton (+++-not in actual NCAA Tournament):
45. UCF*** (9E, 10E) 101.53 102.84 101.47 104.28 98.79 23-8 15-2 17-13 13-6 8-8 9-5 10-9 0.000
46. Syracuse*** (9W, 10S) 101.47 103.09 101.80 102.03 100.91 20-13 13-6 19-14 11-9 10-9 9-5 13-7 0.000
47. Dayton+++ (N/A) 101.44 99.52 99.91 101.55 101.33 21-11 13-4 16-15 13-6 7-9 9-6 10-9 0.000
48. Florida*** (10W, 10MW) 101.37 99.64 100.43 102.18 100.56 19-15 10-6 15-18 11-10 4-12 11-6 9-11 0.000

First four out (***-actually IN the NCAA Tournament):
50. Iowa*** (10S, 11W) 101.15 94.68 103.86 103.18 99.11 22-11 14-4 13-20 11-11 6-12 7-8 8-14 0.000
52. Utah 101.09 84.48 99.26 101.65 100.54 17-14 10-6 15-16 11-8 7-9 8-7 12-7 0.000
53. Minnesota*** (10E, 11S) 101.08 103.63 102.03 104.59 97.58 21-13 14-3 18-16 11-12 9-8 9-8 13-10 0.000
54. Temple*** (11PE, 12W) 101.02 95.85 102.21 103.07 98.97 23-9 13-2 18-13 13-6 7-8 11-5 12-7 0.000

Next four out:
55. North Carolina St. 101.02 104.27 102.10 102.61 99.43 22-11 15-4 19-13 10-10 10-9 9-4 9-10 0.000
56. Memphis 100.94 102.87 98.63 104.29 97.59 21-13 17-3 19-14 13-8 13-6 6-8 10-10 0.000
57. Georgetown 100.74 103.68 99.03 102.38 99.10 19-13 13-5 13-18 9-10 7-10 6-8 9-10 0.000
58. Penn St. 100.59 104.73 96.78 102.47 98.70 14-18 9-6 14-18 7-14 6-9 8-9 11-10 0.000

Third set of four out:
59. Wichita St. 100.56 96.35 97.63 102.33 98.79 19-14 11-4 16-15 12-9 7-7 9-8 12-8 0.000
60. Nebraska 100.25 100.57 99.61 102.81 97.70 18-16 12-5 17-16 8-15 10-6 7-10 8-15 0.000
62. Toledo 99.95 100.86 100.26 101.53 98.36 25-7 14-2 17-13 13-6 7-7 10-6 10-9 0.000
63. Davidson 99.87 94.91 101.21 102.55 97.19 24-9 14-1 16-15 15-5 8-5 8-10 11-9 0.000

Fourth set of four out:
64. St. Bonaventure 99.83 97.92 94.64 101.53 98.13 18-16 10-5 16-16 14-7 8-6 8-10 11-9 0.000
65. TCU 99.72 102.99 102.20 101.60 97.83 20-13 12-5 15-18 8-12 7-10 8-8 6-14 0.000
67. Texas 99.53 98.82 100.13 101.92 97.14 16-16 12-6 16-16 8-11 9-9 7-7 11-8 0.000
68. San Diego St. 99.46 89.53 97.78 101.91 97.00 21-13 14-3 17-16 13-8 11-5 6-11 12-9 0.000

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FINAL 2019 Bracketology #1: Re-seeding The NCAA Tournament using the Selection Committee’s Selections (Power Base Quick Pick)

(Note: FINAL 2019 Bracketology #2: How The ELO Chess System Would Have Determined The Field of 68 For The 2019 NCAA Tournament is now up and can be seen by clicking this link).

For this Bracketology, The first round games are as we see them had The ELO Chess System seeded the field of 68 using only teams the Selection Committe chose for the field. Their actual seed and placement is noted in parentheses.

As was the case in the past, the rankings are done via PowerBase Software that uses the ELO Chess system for ratings, crunching the numbers with the most recent 25 days of games given the most weight, which is why we have some schools considerably higher and others considerably lower than others. While some human element is used (especially with conference leaders), generally, the ratings dictate the seedings.

All match-ups are first round games except where the teams having to play the opening (play-in) round in Dayton are noted:

Conference leader in parentheses that are shown currently hold automatic bid with such.

(NOTE: All Data this comes from is available on Patreon where you can download the 2019 NCAA Tournament Pool Kit (including data for ALL 353 NCAA Division I men’s schools) at: https://www.patreon.com/posts/2019-ncaa-mens-25473912, FINAL Regular Season Data is available on Patreon at: https://www.patreon.com/posts/final-2018-19-25286835).

*-Won Conference Tournament and Automatic Bid (NOT a #1 seed)
*+-Won Regular season but is an at-large,
**+-#1 Seed that is an at-large that won Regular Season Title
**-Won Regular Season Title and Conference Tournament (NOT a #1 Seed)
***-At Large Bid (**++-At-large AND #1 Seed)
+- Won Regular Season Championship but did not win conference tournament AND is in the NIT.
++-#1 Seed and won conference tournament

East Regional (Finals in Washington DC 3/29-31):
Sub-Regional in Columbia, SC 3/22-24:
1. 1. Virginia**+ (1S) 113.86 115.80 114.03 114.72 112.99 29-3 15-1 21-10 17-3 9-7 12-3 12-7 0.000
vs. winner of play-in game in Dayton Tues. 3/19:
16. 191. Prairie View A&M* (16PW) 89.99 89.32 88.42 91.22 88.75 22-12 11-0 19-12 20-1 6-4 13-8 15-5 0.000
16. 267. NC-Central* (16PE) 85.84 81.45 82.81 88.12 83.57 18-15 10-2 18-11 13-6 5-3 13-8 12-6 0.000

8. 34. Marquette*** (5W) 102.91 100.87 104.98 103.84 101.97 24-9 16-3 18-15 13-7 11-8 7-7 11-9 0.000
9. 40. New Mexico St.** (12MW) 102.33 115.61 101.21 103.82 100.84 30-4 16-1 17-14 18-1 6-8 11-6 9-10 0.000

Sub-Regional in Des Moines 3/21-23:
4. 13. Auburn* (5MW) 107.14 107.78 105.26 110.05 104.24 26-9 15-2 18-15 15-7 10-5 8-10 12-10 0.000
vs. winner of play-in game in Dayton Tues 3/19:
13. 71. Belmont*+ (11PE) 99.00 108.39 99.72 100.26 97.74 26-5 13-1 16-10 17-3 6-4 10-6 11-6 0.000
13. 74. Ohio St.*** (11MW) 98.70 95.58 100.90 99.94 97.46 19-14 12-6 14-19 9-13 5-13 9-6 10-12 0.000

5. 18. Buffalo** (6W) 106.04 116.35 105.84 107.14 104.94 31-3 14-0 18-13 19-2 7-5 11-8 10-10 0.000
12. 66. Murray St.* (12W) 99.58 110.79 98.96 100.98 98.19 27-4 15-1 18-11 18-2 7-7 11-4 12-8 0.000

Sub-Regional in Columbus 3/22-24:
2. 6. Michigan*** (2W) 108.27 110.86 109.66 110.24 106.30 28-6 17-1 18-16 17-6 8-10 10-6 14-9 0.000
15. 127. North Dakota St.* (16PE) 94.27 88.31 91.72 96.32 92.21 18-15 10-3 16-15 12-7 8-3 8-12 11-8 0.000

7. 25. VCU*+ (8E) 104.00 101.01 103.75 106.02 101.98 25-7 16-1 20-10 16-3 10-5 10-5 13-6 0.000
10. 45. UCF*** (9E) 101.53 102.84 101.47 104.28 98.79 23-8 15-2 17-13 13-6 8-8 9-5 10-9 0.000

Sub-regional in Hartford 3/21-23:
3. 11. Villanova** (6S) 107.43 107.31 106.31 110.64 104.23 25-9 13-2 18-15 16-5 7-7 11-8 11-10 0.000
14. 96. Vermont** (13W) 96.64 98.17 98.85 97.98 95.31 27-6 16-2 19-11 17-2 11-5 8-6 11-8 0.000

6. 23. Iowa St.*** (6S) 104.86 105.55 105.26 106.25 103.46 23-11 12-4 19-15 12-9 9-7 10-8 11-10 0.000
11. 51. Northeastern* (13MW) 101.10 98.00 98.85 102.79 99.42 23-10 11-2 18-14 17-4 7-6 11-8 14-6 0.000
South Regional (Finals in Louisville 3/28-30):
Sub-regional in Columbia, SC 3/22-24:
1. 2. North Carolina++** (1MW) 112.74 121.04 110.30 113.79 111.69 27-6 14-2 23-10 17-3 10-6 13-4 14-6 0.000
vs. winner of play-in game in Dayton Wed. 3/20:
16. 157. Abilene Christian* (15MW) 92.18 84.28 92.09 92.84 91.53 27-6 13-2 14-13 16-4 4-5 10-8 9-10 0.000
16. 171. Fairleigh Dickinson* (16PW) 91.17 97.13 88.35 92.87 89.47 20-13 13-4 18-12 15-6 7-8 11-4 12-9 0.000

8. 33. Seton Hall*** (10MW) 102.98 103.85 102.25 105.91 100.05 20-13 13-5 17-15 11-10 8-9 9-6 11-10 0.000
9. 37. Wofford** (7MW) 102.54 120.61 102.06 103.57 101.50 29-4 15-1 20-10 21-0 6-7 14-3 15-6 0.000

Sub-Regional in Salt Lake City 3/21-23:
4. 16. Wisconsin*** (5S) 106.13 105.94 106.00 107.64 104.62 23-10 12-3 16-17 15-7 7-8 9-9 10-12 0.000
13. 89. Old Dominion** (14S) 96.84 96.38 97.67 98.66 95.02 26-8 14-2 12-20 16-5 7-7 5-13 4-16 0.000

5. 19. Cincinnati* (7S) 105.60 104.33 105.78 107.49 103.70 28-6 16-2 14-20 17-4 7-11 7-9 7-14 0.000
12. 76. Georgia St.** (14MW) 98.22 94.50 97.80 100.94 95.50 24-9 13-1 16-15 15-5 7-6 9-9 11-9 0.000
(Note: Due to Seed Rules, Houston and Georgia State are one seed line higher than they would have been otherwise)

Sub-regional in Tulsa 3/22-24:
2. 5. Texas Tech*+ (3W) 108.75 114.00 107.92 110.58 106.91 26-6 17-1 16-16 14-5 9-9 7-7 11-8 0.000
15. 131. Bradley*** (15E) 94.06 96.19 93.01 95.21 92.92 20-14 10-6 15-16 12-9 5-10 10-6 11-9 0.000

7. 26. Arizona St.*** (11PW) 103.98 90.20 103.97 105.75 102.21 22-10 13-3 16-15 13-7 8-7 8-8 11-9 0.000
10. 46. Syracuse*** (9W) 101.47 103.09 101.80 102.03 100.91 20-13 13-6 19-14 11-9 10-9 9-5 13-7 0.000

Sub-Regional in Jacksonville 3/21-23:
3. 10. Tennessee*** (2S) 107.53 107.76 108.75 110.02 105.05 29-5 18-0 17-14 17-4 8-7 9-7 11-10 0.000
14. 112. Montana** (15W) 95.25 87.24 95.84 95.95 94.54 26-8 11-2 14-17 19-4 4-7 10-10 11-11 0.000

6. 24. Utah St.* (8MW) 104.72 98.70 102.48 106.18 103.27 28-6 14-1 19-13 18-3 10-4 9-9 10-10 0.000
11. 53. Minnesota*** (10E) 101.08 103.63 102.03 104.59 97.58 21-13 14-3 18-16 11-12 9-8 9-8 13-10 0.000
Midwest Regional (Finals in Kansas City 3/29-31):
Sub-Regional in Des Moines 3/21-23:
1. 3. Michigan St.** (2E) 111.75 114.81 110.60 113.66 109.84 28-6 15-1 25-9 19-4 12-4 13-5 17-6 0.000
16. 133. Northern Kentucky* (14W) 94.00 88.91 95.74 96.22 91.78 26-8 17-1 13-19 16-5 7-9 6-10 10-11 0.000

8. 32. Oklahoma*** (9S) 103.15 104.80 103.06 105.81 100.50 19-13 11-4 18-12 7-12 9-6 9-6 7-11 0.000
9. 36. Louisville*** (7E) 102.60 95.88 103.48 104.62 100.57 20-13 14-4 17-14 11-9 8-8 9-6 11-9 0.000

Sub-Regional in Salt Lake City 3/21-23:
4. 17. Houston*+ (3MW) 106.06 104.95 107.82 106.82 105.29 31-3 19-1 18-14 18-3 8-10 10-4 12-9 0.000
13. 69. Baylor*** (9W) 99.39 99.42 101.27 100.35 98.42 19-13 12-5 16-14 10-9 7-9 9-5 9-8 0.000

5. 20. VA Tech*** (4E) 105.40 111.76 104.92 107.53 103.28 24-8 14-2 17-14 13-7 9-7 8-7 8-11 0.000
12. 61. Saint Louis* (13E) 100.15 100.03 98.67 103.08 97.23 23-12 15-3 17-18 14-8 9-9 8-9 12-10 0.000

Sub-Regional in Jacksonville 3/21-23:
2. 8. Florida St.*** (4W) 107.63 118.02 107.78 110.36 104.91 27-7 15-1 15-19 15-6 7-9 8-10 11-10 0.000
15. 108. Colgate** (15S) 95.62 95.95 94.62 97.89 93.35 24-10 15-1 18-15 16-5 9-6 9-9 12-9 0.000

7. 30. Washington*+ (9MW) 103.45 87.47 104.63 104.89 102.02 26-8 15-2 17-16 17-4 9-7 8-9 13-8 0.000
10. 48. Florida*** (10W) 101.37 99.64 100.43 102.18 100.56 19-15 10-6 15-18 11-10 4-12 11-6 9-11 0.000

Sub-Regional in Tulsa 3/22-24:
3. 9. Kansas St.*** (4S) 107.60 110.89 106.47 109.16 106.04 25-8 13-2 19-13 15-5 6-8 13-5 14-6 0.000
vs. winner of play-in game in Dayton Wed 3/20:
14. 85. Ole Miss*** (8S) 97.18 92.30 100.59 98.10 96.27 20-12 12-5 23-9 10-9 12-5 11-4 12-7 0.000
14. 98. St. John’s*** (11PW) 96.47 96.17 101.35 98.72 94.22 21-12 16-5 15-18 9-11 9-12 6-6 11-9 0.000

6. 21. LSU*+ (3E) 105.20 104.29 106.03 105.56 104.84 26-6 15-2 20-12 16-3 8-9 12-3 13-6 0.000
11. 49. Saint Mary’s* (11S) 101.36 103.36 98.77 103.23 99.49 22-11 14-3 18-14 13-5 10-6 8-8 9-9 0.000
West Regional (Finals in Anaheim 3/28-30):
Sub-Regional in Hartford 3/21-23:
1. 4. Duke++ (1E) 111.18 116.63 112.55 112.37 109.99 29-5 16-2 18-15 17-4 10-7 8-8 9-11 0.000
16. 141. Gardner-Webb* (16S) 93.44 87.27 91.98 95.97 90.90 23-11 14-0 18-13 14-6 6-5 12-8 11-9 0.000

8. 35. Maryland*** (6E) 102.88 99.25 104.37 105.08 100.67 22-10 16-3 17-15 13-8 10-9 7-6 13-8 0.000
9. 38. Nevada*+ (7W) 102.49 91.35 105.88 104.90 100.08 29-4 15-0 17-15 16-4 9-5 8-10 10-10 0.000

Sub-Regional in San Jose 3/22-24:
4. 14. Oregon* (12S) 106.51 93.23 102.53 108.56 104.45 23-12 13-4 17-17 14-8 7-9 10-8 13-9 0.000
13. 86. Yale* (14E) 97.01 90.69 99.67 98.69 95.34 22-7 12-2 15-12 12-4 9-4 6-8 9-6 0.000

5. 15. Kansas*** (4MW) 106.30 108.86 108.41 110.68 101.92 25-9 18-0 14-19 14-7 9-8 5-11 9-11 0.000
12. 54. Temple*** (11PE) 101.02 95.85 102.21 103.07 98.97 23-9 13-2 18-13 13-6 7-8 11-5 12-7 0.000
(Note: Due to seed rules, Kansas is one seed line lower than they would have been otherwise)

Sub-regional in San Jose 3/22-24:
2. 7. Gonzaga**+ (1W) 107.99 107.21 108.86 109.58 106.41 30-3 17-0 21-11 17-1 13-3 8-8 10-7 0.000
15. 113. Liberty* (12E) 95.22 95.32 95.74 95.64 94.81 28-6 17-2 17-14 17-2 6-10 11-4 9-10 0.000

7. 27. UC-Irvine** (13S) 103.61 99.89 101.04 103.99 103.22 30-5 12-2 20-13 18-1 8-4 12-9 12-6 0.000
10. 43. Mississippi St.*** (5E) 102.08 103.11 103.30 103.89 100.27 23-10 15-3 16-14 11-9 8-7 8-7 10-8 0.000

Sub-Regional in Columbus 3/22-24:
3. 12. Kentucky*** (2MW) 107.18 106.31 108.99 109.08 105.28 27-6 17-1 16-17 16-4 8-10 8-7 9-11 0.000
14. 102. Iona** (16MW) 96.03 101.39 90.63 97.76 94.29 17-15 8-3 14-17 15-6 6-5 8-12 13-8 0.000

6. 22. Purdue*** (3S) 104.99 106.90 105.46 107.44 102.55 23-9 15-0 18-14 16-5 11-4 7-10 11-10 0.000
11. 50. Iowa*** (10S) 101.15 94.68 103.86 103.18 99.11 22-11 14-4 13-20 11-11 6-12 7-8 8-14 0.000
One significant rule change this year: Whereas in the past teams hosting a sub-regional or regional could not play on the same days as said regional, that rule has been rescinded for 2019 and such may now play on the same day they are hosting a sub-regional or regional (this will allow BYU in future years to host a sub-regional or regional).

There is no mention anywhere, and especially in this official article from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com/news/basketball-men/article/2018-10-19/how-field-68-teams-picked-march-madness) of whether or not a team with a losing record can be an at-large.

BYU due to religious beliefs must be slotted in a Thursday-Saturday regional (Louisville or Anaheim) and before it a Thursday-Saturday sub-regional. BYU is not allowed to play on Sundays and is why the west regional is always Thursday-Saturday.

Dayton can play in the “first four” on their home floor and except for the final four is the only allowable such instance.

FINAL NCAA Bracketology before Selection Sunday (March 17, 2019)

Listed are the first round games as we see them in the last Bracketology before the selections are made:

The rankings are done via PowerBase Software that uses the ELO Chess system for ratings, crunching the numbers with the most recent 25 days of games given the most weight, which is why we have some schools considerably higher and others considerably lower than others. While some human element is used (especially with conference leaders), generally, the ratings dictate the seedings.

All match-ups are first round games except where the teams having to play the opening (play-in) round in Dayton are noted. The first number is seeding, second number is PowerBase ranking going into games of Sunday, March 17:

Conference leader in parentheses that are shown currently hold automatic bid with such.

(NOTE: All Data this comes from is available on Patreon at: https://www.patreon.com/posts/ncaa-rankings-16-25429184 with an NCAA Pool Kit coming after the Conference Tournaments and once the field of 68 is announced, FINAL Regular Season Data is available on Patreon at: https://www.patreon.com/posts/final-2018-19-25286835).

*-Regular Season Champion
**-Highest seed remaining in conference tournament
***-Conference Tournament champion and has automatic berth
+-Regular season champion no longer alive for automatic berth

Midwest Regional (Finals in Kansas City 3/29-31):
Sub-Regional in Columbia, SC 3/22-24:
1. 1. Virginia+ (1MW) 113.88 116.16 114.04 114.76 113.00 29-3 15-1 21-10 17-3 9-7 12-3 12-7 0.000
vs. winner of play-in game in Dayton Wed. 3/20:
16. 158. Abilene Christian*** (16PMW, Southland)92.13 83.38 92.11 92.78 91.48 27-6 13-2 14-13 16-4 4-5 10-8 9-10 0.000
16. 171. Fairleigh Dickinson*** (16PMW, NEC)91.17 96.44 88.35 92.87 89.47 20-13 13-4 18-12 15-6 7-8 11-4 12-9 0.000

8. 30. Xavier (8MW) 103.27 107.55 100.08 105.13 101.40 18-15 12-5 16-16 10-10 7-9 9-7 12-8 0.000
9. 33. Mississippi St. (9MW) 102.90 103.25 103.30 104.71 101.09 23-10 15-3 16-14 11-9 8-7 8-7 10-8 0.000

Sub-Regional in Des Moines 3/21-23:
4. 16. Wisconsin (4MW) 106.13 105.79 106.00 107.62 104.64 23-10 12-3 16-17 15-7 7-8 9-9 10-12 0.000
13. 66. Murray St.*** (13MW, OVC) 99.58 110.56 98.96 100.98 98.19 27-4 15-1 18-11 18-2 7-7 11-4 12-8 0.000

5. 22. LSU+ (5MW) 104.67 104.62 106.05 105.02 104.32 26-6 15-2 20-12 16-3 8-9 12-3 13-6 0.000
12. 49. New Mexico St.*+ (12MW, WAC)101.43 115.34 101.08 102.93 99.92 30-4 16-1 17-14 18-1 6-8 11-6 9-10 0.000

Sub-regional in Tulsa 3/22-24:
2. 11. Houston* (2MW, American) 107.46 106.04 108.28 108.23 106.70 31-2 19-1 18-13 18-2 8-10 10-3 12-8 0.000
15. 133. Bradley*** (15MW, MVC) 93.98 96.60 93.01 95.14 92.83 20-14 10-6 15-16 12-9 5-10 10-6 11-9 0.000

7. 28. Maryland (7MW) 103.53 100.01 104.34 105.75 101.31 22-10 16-3 17-15 13-8 10-9 7-6 13-8 0.000
10. 44. Syracuse (10MW) 101.85 103.09 101.78 102.38 101.32 20-13 13-6 19-14 11-9 10-9 9-5 13-7 0.000

Sub-Regional in Salt Lake City 3/21-23:
3. 10. Kansas St. (3MW) 107.61 110.94 106.50 109.15 106.08 25-8 13-2 19-13 15-5 6-8 13-5 14-6 0.000
14. 108. Old Dominion*+ (14MW, C-USA)95.73 95.59 97.75 97.58 93.88 26-8 14-2 12-20 16-5 7-7 5-13 4-16 0.000

6. 27. Arizona St. (6MW) 103.90 89.89 103.96 105.67 102.13 22-10 13-3 16-15 13-7 8-7 8-8 11-9 0.000
vs. winner of play-in game in Dayton Tues 3/19:
11. 47. UCF (11PMW) 101.56 102.57 101.44 104.29 98.84 23-8 15-2 17-13 13-6 8-8 9-5 10-9 0.000
11. 48. Louisville (11PMW) 101.47 96.91 103.48 103.50 99.44 20-13 14-4 17-14 11-9 8-8 9-6 11-9 0.000
West Regional (Finals in Anaheim 3/28-30):
Sub-regional in Columbia, SC 3/22-24:
1. 2. North Carolina (1W) 112.35 120.79 110.28 113.42 111.28 27-6 14-2 23-10 17-3 10-6 13-4 14-6 0.000
16. 139. Gardner-Webb*** (16W, Big South)93.44 87.69 91.98 95.97 90.90 23-11 14-0 18-13 14-6 6-5 12-8 11-9 0.000

8. 29. Creighton (8W) 103.28 110.76 100.67 104.76 101.79 18-14 11-6 16-15 9-10 8-8 8-7 10-9 0.000
9. 36. Indiana (9W) 102.78 103.62 100.44 104.96 100.60 17-15 13-5 15-17 8-13 9-9 6-8 9-12 0.000

Sub-Regional in San Jose 3/22-24:
4. 13. Oregon*** (4W, Pac-12) 105.85 91.65 102.05 107.88 103.81 23-12 13-4 16-17 13-8 7-9 9-8 12-9 0.000
13. 90. Harvard* (13W, Ivy League) 96.75 97.39 97.07 98.63 94.86 18-10 9-2 14-11 11-4 5-4 9-7 8-6 0.000

5. 15. Auburn (5W) 106.29 106.33 104.75 109.21 103.38 25-9 15-2 17-15 14-7 10-5 7-10 11-10 0.000
vs. winner of play-in game in Dayton Wed 3/20:
12. 51. Minnesota (12PW) 101.25 104.41 101.98 104.78 97.72 21-13 14-3 18-16 11-12 9-8 9-8 13-10 0.000
12. 53. Temple (12PW) 101.04 95.35 102.21 103.10 98.98 23-9 13-2 18-13 13-6 7-8 11-5 12-7 0.000

Sub-regional in San Jose 3/22-24:
2. 9. Gonzaga+ (2W) 107.99 107.42 108.86 109.58 106.41 30-3 17-0 21-11 17-1 13-3 8-8 10-7 0.000
15. 120. Montana*+ (15W, Big Sky) 94.77 86.30 95.83 95.47 94.07 26-8 11-2 14-17 19-4 4-7 10-10 11-11 0.000

7. 21. Cincinnati (7W) 105.01 102.87 105.26 106.93 103.10 27-6 16-2 13-20 16-4 7-11 6-9 6-14 0.000
10. 43. Nevada+ (10W) 101.85 91.07 105.89 104.27 99.43 29-4 15-0 17-15 16-4 9-5 8-10 10-10 0.000

Sub-Regional in Tulsa 3/22-24:
3. 6. Texas Tech+ (3W) 108.74 113.87 107.94 110.65 106.82 26-6 17-1 16-16 14-5 9-9 7-7 11-8 0.000
14. 104. Colgate*+ (14W, Patriot) 95.87 95.70 94.62 98.12 93.63 24-10 15-1 18-15 16-5 9-6 9-9 12-9 0.000

6. 19. Purdue (6W) 105.54 107.82 105.45 108.03 103.04 23-9 15-0 18-14 16-5 11-4 7-10 11-10 0.000
11. 45. Clemson (11W) 101.83 104.82 100.25 104.05 99.62 19-13 13-4 14-18 9-10 8-9 6-9 10-9 0.000
South Regional (Finals in Louisville 3/28-30):
Sub-Regional in Des Moines 3/21-23:
1. 3. Michigan St.* (1S, Big 10) 111.24 114.00 110.13 113.16 109.33 27-6 15-1 24-9 18-4 12-4 12-5 16-6 0.000
16. 152. North Dakota St.*** (16S,Summit)92.70 87.04 91.37 94.71 90.68 17-15 10-3 15-15 11-7 8-3 7-12 10-8 0.000

8. 32. UC-Irvine*+ (8S, Big West) 103.10 99.15 100.92 103.49 102.72 30-5 12-2 19-13 17-1 8-4 11-9 11-6 0.000
9. 34. Marquette (9S) 102.88 100.78 105.04 103.85 101.92 24-9 16-3 18-15 13-7 11-8 7-7 11-9 0.000

Sub-regional in Hartford 3/21-23:
4. 17. Buffalo*+ (4S, MAC) 106.00 116.04 105.85 107.09 104.92 31-3 14-0 18-13 19-2 7-5 11-8 10-10 0.000
13. 59. St. Bonaventure** (13S, A-10)100.18 97.41 94.94 101.88 98.47 18-15 10-5 16-15 14-6 8-6 8-9 11-8 0.000

5. 20. VA Tech (5S) 105.37 110.81 104.92 107.46 103.27 24-8 14-2 17-14 13-7 9-7 8-7 8-11 0.000
12. 52. Northeastern*** (12S, Colonial)101.10 97.58 98.85 102.79 99.42 23-10 11-2 18-14 17-4 7-6 11-8 14-6 0.000

Sub-Regional in Jacksonville 3/21/23:
2. 7. Tennessee** (2S, SEC) 108.12 110.08 109.26 110.66 105.58 29-4 18-0 17-13 17-3 8-7 9-6 11-9 0.000
15. 112. Liberty*** (15S, A-Sun) 95.16 95.34 95.74 95.60 94.71 28-6 17-2 17-14 17-2 6-10 11-4 9-10 0.000

7. 26. Washington+ (7S) 104.45 87.42 105.02 105.87 103.03 26-8 15-2 17-15 17-3 9-7 8-8 13-7 0.000
10. 37. Wofford*+ (10S, Southern) 102.54 120.18 102.06 103.57 101.50 29-4 15-1 20-10 21-0 6-7 14-3 15-6 0.000

Sub-Regional in Jacksonville 3/21-23:
3. 8. Florida St. (3S) 108.13 117.30 107.77 110.86 105.40 27-7 15-1 15-19 15-6 7-9 8-10 11-10 0.000
14. 102. Georgia St.* (14S, Sun Belt)95.99 93.32 97.40 98.64 93.34 23-9 13-1 15-15 14-5 7-6 8-9 10-9 0.000

6. 23. Utah St.*** (6S, Mountain West)104.41 98.07 102.49 105.86 102.96 28-6 14-1 19-13 18-3 10-4 9-9 10-10 0.000
11. 46. North Carolina St. (11S) 101.61 104.58 102.10 103.20 100.02 22-11 15-4 19-13 10-10 10-9 9-4 9-10 0.000
East Regional (Finals in Washington DC 3/29-31):
Sub-Regional in Hartford 3/21-23:
1. 4. Duke*** (1E, ACC) 109.78 113.98 112.54 110.87 108.70 29-5 16-2 18-15 17-4 10-7 8-8 9-11 0.000
vs. winner of play-in game in Dayton Tues. 3/19:
16. 194. Prairie View A&M*+ (16PE, SWAC)89.97 89.06 88.47 91.20 88.73 22-12 11-0 19-12 20-1 6-4 13-8 15-5 0.000
16. 267. NC-Central*** (16PE, MEAC) 85.84 81.49 82.81 88.12 83.57 18-15 10-2 18-11 13-6 5-3 13-8 12-6 0.000

8. 31. Oklahoma (8E) 103.15 104.35 103.07 105.88 100.42 19-13 11-4 18-12 7-12 9-6 9-6 7-11 0.000
9. 35. Seton Hall (9E) 102.78 103.41 102.25 105.64 99.93 20-13 13-5 17-15 11-10 8-9 9-6 11-10 0.000

Sub-Regional in Salt Lake City 3/21-23:
4. 14. Kansas (4E) 107.67 110.08 108.38 112.07 103.27 25-9 18-0 14-19 14-7 9-8 5-11 9-11 0.000
13. 92. Vermont*+ (13E, America East)96.64 98.42 98.81 97.98 95.31 27-6 16-2 19-11 17-2 11-5 8-6 11-8 0.000

5. 18. Villanova*+ (5E, Big East) 106.08 105.84 106.36 109.25 102.92 25-9 13-2 18-15 16-5 7-7 11-8 11-10 0.000
12. 50. St. Mary’s*** (12E, WCC) 101.36 103.55 98.77 103.23 99.49 22-11 14-3 18-14 13-5 10-6 8-8 9-9 0.000

Sub-Regional in Columbus 3/22-24:
2. 5. Michigan (2E) 109.84 111.49 110.05 111.83 107.84 28-5 17-1 18-15 17-5 8-10 10-5 14-8 0.000
15. 132. Northern Kentucky*** (15E, Horizon)94.00 89.10 95.74 96.22 91.78 26-8 17-1 13-19 16-5 7-9 6-10 10-11 0.000

7. 25. VCU+ (7E) 104.13 105.19 103.75 106.15 102.11 25-7 16-1 20-10 16-3 10-5 10-5 13-6 0.000
10. 39. Florida (10E) 102.26 100.96 100.43 103.05 101.48 19-15 10-6 15-18 11-10 4-12 11-6 9-11 0.000

Sub-Regional in Columbus 3/22-24:
3. 12. Kentucky (3E) 107.41 106.54 109.00 109.32 105.50 27-6 17-1 16-17 16-4 8-10 8-7 9-11 0.000
14. 96. Iona*+ (14E, MAAC) 96.42 100.60 90.63 98.16 94.67 17-15 8-3 14-17 15-6 6-5 8-12 13-8 0.000

6. 24. Iowa St.*** (6E, Big 12) 103.39 103.30 105.31 104.74 102.03 23-11 12-4 19-15 12-9 9-7 10-8 11-10 0.000
11. 40. Colorado (11E) 102.18 84.87 99.73 105.35 99.01 21-12 13-2 17-15 12-9 11-3 6-12 11-10 0.000

 

One significant rule change this year: Whereas in the past teams hosting a sub-regional or regional could not play on the same days as said regional, that rule has been rescinded for 2019 and such may now play on the same day they are hosting a sub-regional or regional (this will allow BYU in future years to host a sub-regional or regional).

There is no mention anywhere, and especially in this official article from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com/news/basketball-men/article/2018-10-19/how-field-68-teams-picked-march-madness) of whether or not a team with a losing record can be an at-large.

BYU due to religious beliefs must be slotted in a Thursday-Saturday regional (Louisville or Anaheim) and before it a Thursday-Saturday sub-regional. BYU is not allowed to play on Sundays and is why the west regional is always Thursday-Saturday.

Dayton can play in the “first four” on their home floor and except for the final four is the only allowable such instance.

Officially IN the field of 68 as Conference Tournament Champion:
17. Buffalo*+ (4S, MAC) 106.00 116.04 105.85 107.09 104.92 31-3 14-0 18-13 19-2 7-5 11-8 10-10 0.000
18. Villanova*+ (5E, Big East) 106.08 105.84 106.36 109.25 102.92 25-9 13-2 18-15 16-5 7-7 11-8 11-10 0.000
23. Utah St.*** (6S, Mountain West)104.41 98.07 102.49 105.86 102.96 28-6 14-1 19-13 18-3 10-4 9-9 10-10 0.000
24. Iowa St.*** (6E, Big 12) 103.39 103.30 105.31 104.74 102.03 23-11 12-4 19-15 12-9 9-7 10-8 11-10 0.000
32. UC-Irvine*+ (8S, Big West) 103.10 99.15 100.92 103.49 102.72 30-5 12-2 19-13 17-1 8-4 11-9 11-6 0.000
37. Wofford*+ (10S, Southern) 102.54 120.18 102.06 103.57 101.50 29-4 15-1 20-10 21-0 6-7 14-3 15-6 0.000
49. New Mexico St.*+ (12W, WAC)101.43 115.34 101.08 102.93 99.92 30-4 16-1 17-14 18-1 6-8 11-6 9-10 0.000
50. St. Mary’s*** (12E, WCC) 101.36 103.55 98.77 103.23 99.49 22-11 14-3 18-14 13-5 10-6 8-8 9-9 0.000
52. Northeastern*** (12S, Colonial)101.10 97.58 98.85 102.79 99.42 23-10 11-2 18-14 17-4 7-6 11-8 14-6 0.000
66. Murray St.*** (13MW, OVC) 99.58 110.56 98.96 100.98 98.19 27-4 15-1 18-11 18-2 7-7 11-4 12-8 0.000
92. Vermont*+ (13E, America East)96.64 98.42 98.81 97.98 95.31 27-6 16-2 19-11 17-2 11-5 8-6 11-8 0.000
96. Iona*+ (14E, MAAC) 96.42 100.60 90.63 98.16 94.67 17-15 8-3 14-17 15-6 6-5 8-12 13-8 0.000
105. Colgate*+ (14W, Patriot) 95.74 95.36 94.61 97.94 93.53 24-10 15-1 21-18 16-5 10-7 11-11 12-9 0.000
108. Old Dominion*+ (14MW, C-USA)95.73 95.59 97.75 97.58 93.88 26-8 14-2 12-20 16-5 7-7 5-13 4-16 0.000
112. Liberty*** (15S, A-Sun) 95.16 95.34 95.74 95.60 94.71 28-6 17-2 17-14 17-2 6-10 11-4 9-10 0.000
120. Montana*+ (15W, Big Sky) 94.77 86.30 95.83 95.47 94.07 26-8 11-2 14-17 19-4 4-7 10-10 11-11 0.000
132. Northern Kentucky*** (15E, Horizon)94.00 89.10 95.74 96.22 91.78 26-8 17-1 13-19 16-5 7-9 6-10 10-11 0.00
133. Bradley*** (15MW, MVC) 93.98 96.60 93.01 95.14 92.83 20-14 10-6 15-16 12-9 5-10 10-6 11-9 0.000
139. Gardner-Webb*** (16W, Big South)93.44 87.69 91.98 95.97 90.90 23-11 14-0 18-13 14-6 6-5 12-8 11-9 0.000
152. North Dskota St.*** (16S, Summit)92.70 87.60 91.38 94.71 90.68 17-15 10-3 17-20 11-7 9-3 6-13 10-8 0.000
Conference Champions that would be in the play-in round in Dayton:
158. Abilene Christian*** (16PMW, Southland)92.13 83.38 92.11 92.78 91.48 27-6 13-2 14-13 16-4 4-5 10-8 9-10 0.000
170. Fairleign Dickinson***(16PE, NEC)91.17 95.37 88.35 92.87 89.47 20-13 13-4 20-14 15-6 7-9 13-5 12-9 0.000
194. Prairie View A&M*+ (16PE, SWAC)89.97 89.06 88.47 91.20 88.73 22-12 11-0 19-12 20-1 6-4 13-8 15-5 0.000
267. NC-Central*** (16PE, MEAC) 85.84 81.49 82.81 88.12 83.57 18-15 10-2 18-11 13-6 5-3 13-8 12-6 0.000

Conference Champions that are locks to be in no matter what:
3. Michigan St.* (1S, Big 12) 109.92 113.26 109.52 111.82 108.02 25-6 15-1 28-10 16-4 14-5 11-5 15-5 0.000
16. Houston* (4MW, American) 105.96 103.59 107.97 107.02 104.89 29-2 19-1 19-14 16-2 9-12 10-2 11-7 0.000

Conference Champions that MUST win conference tournament:
101. Harvard* (14, Ivy Leagye) 96.15 97.03 96.71 98.05 94.24 17-10 9-2 18-12 10-4 6-5 12-7 7-6 0.000
102. Georgia St.* (14S, Sun Belt)95.99 93.32 97.40 98.64 93.34 23-9 13-1 15-15 14-5 7-6 8-9 10-9 0.000

Conference Champions that failed to win or are no longer alive for automatic bid (if in tourney, seed in parentheses):
1. Virginia+ (1MW) 113.88 116.16 114.04 114.76 113.00 29-3 15-1 21-10 17-3 9-7 12-3 12-7 0.000
6. Texas Tech+ (3W) 108.74 113.87 107.94 110.65 106.82 26-6 17-1 16-16 14-5 9-9 7-7 11-8 0.000
9. Gonzaga+ (2W) 107.99 107.42 108.86 109.58 106.41 30-3 17-0 21-11 17-1 13-3 8-8 10-7 0.000
22. LSU+ (6MW) 104.67 104.62 106.05 105.02 104.32 26-6 15-2 20-12 16-3 8-9 12-3 13-6 0.000
25. VCU+ (7E) 104.13 105.19 103.75 106.15 102.11 25-7 16-1 20-10 16-3 10-5 10-5 13-6 0.000
26. Washington+ (7W) 104.45 87.42 105.02 105.87 103.03 26-8 15-2 17-15 17-3 9-7 8-8 13-7 0.000
43. Nevada+ (10W) 101.85 91.07 105.89 104.27 99.43 29-4 15-0 17-15 16-4 9-5 8-10 10-10 0.000
72. Belmont+ 99.00 108.20 99.72 100.26 97.74 26-5 13-1 16-10 17-3 6-4 10-6 11-6 0.000
81. Hofstra+ 97.60 86.82 99.55 99.13 96.06 27-7 15-1 18-15 17-4 8-7 10-8 8-13 0.000
99. South Dakota St.+ 96.18 87.66 96.19 98.74 93.61 24-8 14-1 14-17 14-3 6-8 8-9 7-10 0.000
101. Loyola-Chicago+ 96.07 97.07 94.85 98.43 93.72 20-13 13-4 14-18 13-7 8-8 6-10 10-10 0.000
131. Wright St.+ 94.10 91.50 92.64 97.06 91.15 21-13 15-2 18-13 15-6 10-4 8-9 13-7 0.000
159. Lipscomb+ 92.07 87.37 96.51 92.55 91.59 25-7 14-3 16-17 16-3 4-12 12-5 6-12 0.000
163. Campbell+ 91.76 86.36 89.60 94.81 88.71 20-12 12-2 21-13 13-5 8-5 11-6 12-6 0.000
197. Sam Houston St.+ 89.67 83.07 90.38 90.64 88.70 21-10 13-2 19-9 16-2 7-5 12-4 12-6 0.000
218. Norfolk St.+ 88.68 81.40 87.97 90.39 86.98 20-12 11-2 18-14 15-2 7-5 11-7 9-7 0.000
248. St. Francis-PA+ 86.92 87.64 87.73 88.44 85.41 18-14 12-4 16-18 14-7 6-9 10-9 10-11 0.000

Multiple Bids By Conference:
ACC (9)
Big 10 (7)
SEC (6)
Big 12 (5)
Big East (5)
Pac-12 (4)
American (4)
Atlantic 10 (2)
Mountain West (2)
West Coast Conference (2)

Last four in field that do not have to play in the first round in Dayton:
43. Nevada+ (10W) 101.85 91.07 105.89 104.27 99.43 29-4 15-0 17-15 16-4 9-5 8-10 10-10 0.000
44. Syracuse (10MW) 101.85 103.09 101.78 102.38 101.32 20-13 13-6 19-14 11-9 10-9 9-5 13-7 0.000
45. Clemson (11W) 101.83 104.82 100.25 104.05 99.62 19-13 13-4 14-18 9-10 8-9 6-9 10-9 0.000
46. North Carolina St. (11S) 101.61 104.58 102.10 103.20 100.02 22-11 15-4 19-13 10-10 10-9 9-4 9-10 0.000

Last four at-large in field that must play in the first round in Dayton:
47. UCF (11PMW) 101.56 102.57 101.44 104.29 98.84 23-8 15-2 17-13 13-6 8-8 9-5 10-9 0.000
48. Louisville (11PMW) 101.47 96.91 103.48 103.50 99.44 20-13 14-4 17-14 11-9 8-8 9-6 11-9 0.000
51. Minnesota (12PW) 101.25 104.41 101.98 104.78 97.72 21-13 14-3 18-16 11-12 9-8 9-8 13-10 0.000
53. Temple (12PW) 101.04 95.35 102.21 103.10 98.98 23-9 13-2 18-13 13-6 7-8 11-5 12-7 0.000

First four out (++-Above at-large cutoff line but extremely unlikely to get a berth):
38. West Virginia++ 102.42 104.62 97.54 105.44 99.41 14-20 10-6 11-23 6-15 7-9 4-14 9-12 0.000
41. Providence++ 101.94 101.33 99.24 102.50 101.37 18-15 11-6 15-18 8-12 7-10 8-8 8-12 0.000
42. Dayton++ 101.89 99.00 99.92 102.02 101.77 21-11 13-4 16-15 13-6 7-9 9-6 10-9 0.000
54. Wichita St. 100.95 95.94 97.62 102.71 99.20 19-14 11-4 16-15 12-9 7-7 9-8 12-8 0.000

Next four out:
55. Penn St. 100.93 105.17 96.78 102.84 99.02 14-18 9-6 14-18 7-14 6-9 8-9 11-10 0.000
56. Memphis 100.86 101.98 98.60 104.23 97.50 21-13 17-3 19-14 13-8 13-6 6-8 10-10 0.000
57. Iowa 100.68 94.26 103.84 102.67 98.69 22-11 14-4 13-20 11-11 6-12 7-8 8-14 0.000
58. Georgetown 100.50 103.60 99.08 102.14 98.86 19-13 13-5 13-18 9-10 7-10 6-8 9-10 0.000

Third set of four out:
60. Baylor 100.07 100.12 101.25 100.98 99.15 19-13 12-5 16-14 10-9 7-9 9-5 9-8 0.000
61. Utah 100.06 82.88 99.25 100.61 99.51 17-14 10-6 15-16 11-8 7-9 8-7 12-7 0.000
62. Nebraska 99.97 100.43 99.58 102.53 97.41 18-16 12-5 17-16 8-15 10-6 7-10 8-15 0.000
63. San Diego St. 99.76 90.23 97.77 102.23 97.29 21-13 14-3 17-16 13-8 11-5 6-11 12-9 0.000

Fourth set of four out:
64. TCU 99.66 102.71 102.17 101.51 97.81 20-13 12-5 15-18 8-12 7-10 8-8 6-14 0.000
65. Ohio St. 99.61 95.75 100.89 100.84 98.39 19-14 12-6 14-19 9-13 5-13 9-6 10-12 0.000
67. Texas 99.55 99.46 100.15 101.85 97.25 16-16 12-6 16-16 8-11 9-9 7-7 11-8 0.000
68. St. Louis 99.40 98.61 98.21 102.31 96.49 22-12 15-3 16-18 13-8 9-9 7-9 11-10 0.000

NCAA Bracketology following afternoon games of Friday, March 15, 2019

Listed are the first round games as we see them:

The rankings are done via PowerBase Software that uses the ELO Chess system for ratings, crunching the numbers with the most recent 25 days of games given the most weight, which is why we have some schools considerably higher and others considerably lower than others. While some human element is used (especially with conference leaders), generally, the ratings dictate the seedings.

All match-ups are first round games except where the teams having to play the opening (play-in) round in Dayton are noted. The first number is seeding, second number is PowerBase ranking going into the evening games of Friday, March 15:

Conference leader in parentheses that are shown currently hold automatic bid with such.

(NOTE: All Data this comes from is available on Patreon at: https://www.patreon.com/posts/ncaa-rankings-as-25399958 with an NCAA Pool Kit coming after the Conference Tournaments and once the field of 68 is announced, FINAL Regular Season Data is available on Patreon at: https://www.patreon.com/posts/final-2018-19-25286835).

*-Regular Season Champion
**-Highest seed remaining in conference tournament
***-Conference Tournament champion and has automatic berth
+-Regular season champion no longer alive for automatic berth

East Regional (Finals in Washington DC 3/29-31):
Sub-regional in Hartford 3/21-23:
1. 1. Virginia* (1E, ACC) 116.68 121.09 114.93 117.64 115.71 29-2 15-1 26-11 17-2 11-8 12-2 12-6 0.000
vs. winner of play-in game in Dayton Tues. 3/19:
16. 170. Fairleign Dickinson***(16PE, NEC)91.17 95.37 88.35 92.87 89.47 20-13 13-4 20-14 15-6 7-9 13-5 12-9 0.000
16. 198. Sam Houston St.*(16PE, Southland89.67 82.83 90.43 90.64 88.70 21-10 13-2 23-11 16-2 8-6 15-5 12-6 0.000

8. 33. Maryland (8E) 103.42 101.73 104.24 105.63 101.20 22-10 16-3 19-20 13-8 11-14 8-4 13-8 0.000
9. 34. Indiana (9E) 102.83 103.61 100.50 105.03 100.63 17-15 13-5 18-21 8-13 12-11 6-9 9-12 0.000

Sub-Regional in Columbia, SC 3/22-24:
4. 16. Auburn (4E) 105.79 104.69 104.45 108.69 102.88 24-9 15-2 17-14 13-7 10-5 7-9 11-9 0.000
13. 99. Iona*+ (13E, MAAC) 96.19 99.29 90.58 97.88 94.50 17-15 8-3 15-21 15-6 6-6 7-12 13-8 0.000

5. 20. Villanova* (5E, Big East) 104.96 101.77 105.57 108.51 101.42 23-9 13-2 18-13 14-5 7-7 11-6 11-8 0.000
vs. winner of play-in game in Dayton Wed 3/20:
12. 46. North Carolina St. (12PE) 101.68 104.77 102.23 103.32 100.05 22-11 15-4 19-13 10-10 10-9 9-4 9-10 0.000
12. 47. Louisville (12PE) 101.58 98.59 103.61 103.64 99.51 20-13 14-4 20-16 11-9 10-9 8-5 11-9 0.000
(Note: As there are three ACCs schools in the play-in round, one play-in has to be a conference matchup)

Sub-Regional in Tulsa 3/22-24:
2. 5. Texas Tech+ (2E) 108.54 117.97 107.82 110.42 106.66 26-6 17-1 20-18 14-5 11-11 7-5 11-8 0.000
15. 127. Old Dominion* (15E, C-USA) 94.34 93.05 96.95 96.16 92.52 24-8 14-2 14-22 14-5 9-7 4-12 3-15 0.000

7. 27. Cincinnati (7E) 103.81 103.37 104.76 105.68 101.93 25-6 16-2 12-19 14-4 7-11 5-8 5-13 0.000
10. 38. Temple (10E) 102.18 95.56 102.73 104.24 100.12 23-8 13-2 21-16 13-5 8-11 11-4 12-6 0.000

Sub-Regional in Columbus 3/22-24:
3. 10. Purdue (3E) 107.80 110.17 105.97 110.45 105.16 23-8 15-0 23-15 16-4 13-5 8-8 11-9 0.000
14. 105. Colgate*+ (14E, Patriot) 95.74 95.36 94.61 97.94 93.53 24-10 15-1 21-18 16-5 10-7 11-11 12-9 0.000

6. 21. Arizona St. (6E) 104.73 90.07 104.36 106.51 102.95 22-9 13-3 16-14 13-6 8-7 8-7 11-8 0.000
11. 39. West Virginia (11E) 102.29 102.45 97.53 105.26 99.32 14-19 10-6 11-22 6-14 7-9 4-13 9-11 0.000
Midwest Regional (Finals in Kansas City 3/29-31):
Sub-regional in Columbia, SC 3/22-24:
1. 2. North Carolina (1MW) 112.97 123.19 110.79 114.03 111.91 27-5 14-2 27-13 17-2 12-7 13-4 13-6 0.000
vs. winner of play-in game in Dayton Wed. 3/20:
16. 209. Prarie View A&M* (16PMW, SWAC)89.16 87.84 87.67 90.37 87.94 20-12 11-0 21-15 18-1 6-4 15-11 13-5 0.000
16. 218. Norfolk St.* (16PMW, MEAC) 88.68 81.40 87.97 90.39 86.98 20-12 11-2 18-14 15-2 7-5 11-7 9-7 0.000

8. 30. Marquette (8MW) 103.54 101.34 105.49 104.54 102.53 24-8 16-3 18-14 13-6 11-8 7-6 11-8 0.000
9. 38. Wofford*+ (9MW, Southern) 102.54 119.70 102.06 103.57 101.50 29-4 15-1 20-10 21-0 6-7 14-3 15-6 0.000

Sub-Regional in Salt Lake City 3/21-23:
4. 16. Houston* (4MW, American) 105.96 103.59 107.97 107.02 104.89 29-2 19-1 19-14 16-2 9-12 10-2 11-7 0.000
13. 56. New Mexico St.* (13MW, WAC)100.60 114.98 100.64 102.07 99.12 28-4 16-1 20-14 16-1 8-9 11-3 8-9 0.000

5. 18. Oregon (5MW) 105.18 89.22 101.53 107.22 103.14 21-12 13-4 15-17 12-8 7-9 8-8 11-9 0.000
12. 50. Northeastern*** (12MW, Colonial)101.10 96.82 98.84 102.79 99.42 23-10 11-2 21-18 17-4 7-7 11-9 14-6 0.000

Sub-regional in Tulsa 3/22-24:
2. 6. Kansas St.** (2MW, Big 12) 108.53 111.10 106.99 110.14 106.91 25-7 13-2 23-14 15-4 7-10 11-4 14-5 0.000
15. 133. Bradley*** (15MW, MVC) 93.90 97.72 92.85 95.06 92.73 20-14 10-6 18-20 12-9 6-12 7-8 11-9 0.000

7. 27. Nevada* (7MW, Mountain West)103.77 92.46 106.61 106.23 101.32 29-3 15-0 22-15 16-3 12-5 9-7 10-9 0.000
10. 39. UC-Irvine* (10MW, Big West)102.15 98.70 100.63 102.54 101.77 28-5 12-2 24-14 16-1 9-4 13-8 11-5 0.000

Sub-Regional in Des Moines 3/21-23:
3. 9. Michigan (3MW) 107.99 111.23 109.60 109.92 106.05 26-5 17-1 20-18 15-5 9-13 9-5 12-8 0.000
14. 103. Vermont* (14MW, America East)95.85 98.83 98.71 97.09 94.61 26-6 15-2 22-12 16-2 11-6 11-6 10-8 0.000

6. 24. VCU* (6MW, Atlantic 10) 104.17 110.63 103.71 106.18 102.16 25-7 16-1 20-10 16-3 10-5 10-5 13-6 0.000
11. 43. Syracuse (11MW) 101.98 103.27 101.89 102.53 101.43 20-13 13-6 19-14 11-9 10-9 9-5 13-7 0.000
South Regional (Finals in Louisville 3/28-30):
Sub-Regional in Des Moines 3/21-23:
1. 3. Michigan St.* (1S, Big 10) 109.92 113.26 109.52 111.82 108.02 25-6 15-1 28-10 16-4 14-5 11-5 15-5 0.000
16. 152. North Dskota St.*** (16W, Summit)92.70 87.60 91.38 94.71 90.68 17-15 10-3 17-20 11-7 9-3 6-13 10-8 0.000

8. 29. Xavier (8S) 103.59 109.14 100.36 105.47 101.71 18-14 12-5 18-20 10-9 8-12 7-7 11-8 0.000
9. 35. Florida (9S) 103.14 102.14 100.74 103.90 102.39 19-14 10-6 14-18 11-9 4-12 10-6 8-11 0.000

Sub-Regional in Salt Lake City 3/21-23:
4. 13. Kansas (4S) 106.61 110.47 108.80 110.99 102.22 24-8 18-0 15-21 13-6 9-10 4-10 8-10 0.000
13. 63. Murray St.*** (13S, OVC) 99.58 110.28 98.98 100.98 98.19 27-4 15-1 20-12 18-2 8-8 11-3 12-8 0.000

5. 17. Buffalo* (5S, MAC) 105.47 115.63 105.56 106.57 104.37 29-3 14-0 21-13 17-2 9-6 11-7 9-9 0.000
12. 48. St. Mary’s*** (12S, WCC) 101.36 104.05 98.77 103.23 99.49 22-11 14-3 22-17 13-5 12-8 6-7 9-9 0.000

Sub-Regional in Columbus 3/22-24:
2. 4. Kentucky (2S) 109.28 109.01 109.33 111.16 107.40 26-5 17-1 17-21 15-3 10-14 6-6 8-10 0.000
15. 131. Northern Kentucky*** (15S, Horizon)94.00 89.31 95.77 96.22 91.78 26-8 17-1 15-23 16-5 8-11 6-12 10-11 0.000

7. 26. Mississippi St. (7S) 103.82 103.56 103.66 105.66 101.99 23-9 15-3 16-13 11-8 8-7 8-6 10-7 0.000
10. 37. Colorado (10S) 102.58 86.48 100.04 105.76 99.41 21-11 13-2 17-14 12-8 11-3 6-11 11-9 0.000

Sub-Regional in Jacksonville 3/21-23:
3. 11. Florida St. (3S) 107.41 116.64 107.54 110.07 104.75 26-6 15-1 17-22 14-5 9-10 5-9 10-9 0.000
14. 107. Georgia St.* (14S, Sun Belt)95.58 93.53 97.19 98.23 92.93 22-9 13-1 17-19 13-5 7-8 8-10 9-9 0.000

6. 22. LSU+ (6S) 104.68 104.87 105.87 105.04 104.33 26-6 15-2 20-12 16-3 8-9 12-3 13-6 0.000
11. 37. Colorado (11S) 102.58 86.48 100.04 105.76 99.41 21-11 13-2 17-14 12-8 11-3 6-11 11-9 0.000
West Regional (Finals in Anaheim 3/28-30):
Sub-regional in San Jose 3/22-24:
1. 8. Gonzaga+ (1W) 107.99 112.71 108.88 109.58 106.41 30-3 17-0 27-12 17-1 17-3 7-6 10-7 0.000
16. 144. Montana* (16W, Big Sky) 93.18 84.32 95.30 93.88 92.48 24-8 11-2 15-20 17-4 5-7 9-10 10-11 0.000

8. 32. Utah St. (8W) 103.51 96.89 101.79 104.98 102.04 26-6 14-1 24-13 16-3 14-4 8-7 8-10 0.000
9. 34. Oklahoma (9W) 103.18 103.99 103.20 105.86 100.49 19-13 11-4 18-12 7-12 9-6 9-6 7-11 0.000

Sub-Regional in Jacksonville 3/21/23:
4. 14. Tennessee (4W) 107.02 106.59 108.61 109.59 104.44 27-4 18-0 15-13 15-3 8-7 7-6 9-9 0.000
vs. winner of play-in game in Dayton Wed 3/20:
13. 45. Clemson (13PW) 101.81 104.23 100.27 103.98 99.63 19-13 13-4 14-18 9-10 8-9 6-9 10-9 0.000
13. 48. UCF (13PW) 101.50 103.66 101.42 104.27 98.73 23-8 15-2 17-13 13-6 8-8 9-5 10-9 0.000
(Note: Play-in is one level lower because Clemson can’t play Virginia Tech until Round 2 and this pod is the only Friday-Sunday pod in the 4-5 such, also, as there are three ACC schools in the play-in round, at least one had to be in both play-in games)

5. 19. VA Tech (5W) 105.12 109.58 104.93 107.22 103.01 24-8 14-2 17-14 13-7 9-7 8-7 8-11 0.000
13. 101. Harvard* (12W, Ivy Leagye) 96.15 97.03 96.71 98.05 94.24 17-10 9-2 18-12 10-4 6-5 12-7 7-6 0.000

Sub-Regional in Hartford 3/21-23:
2. 7. Duke (2W) 108.49 110.03 111.72 109.59 107.40 27-5 16-2 21-17 15-4 12-8 7-6 8-10 0.000
15. 138. Gardner-Webb*** (15W, A-Sun)93.44 88.30 92.02 95.97 90.90 23-11 14-0 23-16 14-6 6-5 14-9 12-9 0.000

7. 23. Dayton (7W) 104.23 98.90 100.46 104.38 104.08 21-10 13-4 16-14 13-5 7-9 9-5 10-8 0.000
10. 33. Creighton (10W) 103.27 109.39 100.67 104.75 101.79 18-14 11-6 16-15 9-10 8-8 8-7 10-9 0.000

Sub-Regional in San Jose 3/22-24:
3. 12. Wisconsin (3W) 107.35 105.93 106.25 108.86 105.84 23-9 12-3 16-16 15-6 7-8 9-8 10-11 0.000
14. 114. Liberty*** (14W, Atlantic Sun)95.16 95.46 95.78 95.60 94.71 28-6 17-2 22-14 17-2 8-10 14-4 9-10 0.000

6. 25. Washington* (6W, Pac-12) 103.92 86.48 104.64 105.34 102.51 25-7 15-2 16-15 16-3 9-7 7-8 12-7 0.000
11. 44. Providence (11W) 101.94 101.37 99.23 102.51 101.38 18-15 11-6 15-18 8-12 7-10 8-8 8-12 0.000

One significant rule change this year: Whereas in the past teams hosting a sub-regional or regional could not play on the same days as said regional, that rule has been rescinded for 2019 and such may now play on the same day they are hosting a sub-regional or regional (this will allow BYU in future years to host a sub-regional or regional).

There is no mention anywhere, and especially in this official article from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com/news/basketball-men/article/2018-10-19/how-field-68-teams-picked-march-madness) of whether or not a team with a losing record can be an at-large.

BYU due to religious beliefs must be slotted in a Thursday-Saturday regional (Louisville or Anaheim) and before it a Thursday-Saturday sub-regional. BYU is not allowed to play on Sundays and is why the west regional is always Thursday-Saturday.

Dayton can play in the “first four” on their home floor and except for the final four is the only allowable such instance.

Officially IN the field of 68 as Conference Tournament Champion:
37. Wofford*+ (9S, Southern) 102.54 119.53 102.06 103.57 101.50 29-4 15-1 23-12 21-0 7-8 13-4 15-6 0.000
48. St. Mary’s*** (12, WCC) 101.36 104.05 98.77 103.23 99.49 22-11 14-3 22-17 13-5 12-8 6-7 9-9 0.000
50. Northeastern*** (12, Colonial)101.10 96.82 98.84 102.79 99.42 23-10 11-2 21-18 17-4 7-7 11-9 14-6 0.000
63. Murray St.*** (13, OVC) 99.58 110.28 98.98 100.98 98.19 27-4 15-1 20-12 18-2 8-8 11-3 12-8 0.000
99. Iona*+ (13, MAAC) 96.19 99.29 90.58 97.88 94.50 17-15 8-3 15-21 15-6 6-6 7-12 13-8 0.000
105. Colgate*+ (14, Patriot) 95.74 95.36 94.61 97.94 93.53 24-10 15-1 21-18 16-5 10-7 11-11 12-9 0.000
114. Liberty*** (15, Atlantic Sun)95.16 95.46 95.78 95.60 94.71 28-6 17-2 22-14 17-2 8-10 14-4 9-10 0.000
127. Bradley*** (15MW, MVC) 94.09 98.19 92.75 95.25 92.92 20-14 10-6 15-16 12-9 5-10 10-6 11-9 0.000
131. Northern Kentucky*** (15, Horizon)94.00 89.31 95.77 96.22 91.78 26-8 17-1 15-23 16-5 8-11 6-12 10-11 0.000
138. Gardner-Webb*** (15, A-Sun) 93.44 88.30 92.02 95.97 90.90 23-11 14-0 23-16 14-6 6-5 14-9 12-9 0.000
152. North Dakota St.*** (16S, Summit)92.70 87.60 91.38 94.71 90.68 17-15 10-3 17-20 11-7 9-3 6-13 10-8 0.000
170. Fairleign Dickinson***(16PE, NEC)91.17 95.37 88.35 92.87 89.47 20-13 13-4 20-14 15-6 7-9 13-5 12-9 0.000

Conference Champions that are locks to be in no matter what:
1. Virginia* (1E, ACC) 116.68 121.09 114.93 117.64 115.71 29-2 15-1 26-11 17-2 11-8 12-2 12-6 0.000
3. Michigan St.* (1S, Big 10) 109.92 113.26 109.52 111.82 108.02 25-6 15-1 28-10 16-4 14-5 11-5 15-5 0.000
15. VCU* (4E, Atlantic 10) 106.45 113.71 104.28 108.45 104.45 25-6 16-1 23-12 16-2 11-7 11-5 13-5 0.000
16. Houston* (4MW, American) 105.96 103.59 107.97 107.02 104.89 29-2 19-1 19-14 16-2 9-12 10-2 11-7 0.000
17. Buffalo* (5S, MAC) 105.47 115.63 105.56 106.57 104.37 29-3 14-0 21-13 17-2 9-6 11-7 9-9 0.000
23. Villanova* (6E, Big East) 104.40 100.25 105.53 107.91 100.88 23-9 13-2 22-16 14-5 8-10 9-5 11-8 0.000
27. Nevada* (7MW, Mountain West)103.77 92.46 106.61 106.23 101.32 29-3 15-0 22-15 16-3 12-5 9-7 10-9 0.000
28. Washington* (7E, Pac-12) 103.66 86.25 104.72 105.09 102.22 25-7 15-2 19-19 16-3 11-9 7-7 12-7 0.000

Conference Champions that probably need to win games in conference tournament to get an at-large bid (failing to get auto bid):
39. UC-Irvine* (10MW, Big West)102.15 98.70 100.63 102.54 101.77 28-5 12-2 24-14 16-1 9-4 13-8 11-5 0.000
56. New Mexico St.* (13, WAC) 100.60 114.98 100.64 102.07 99.12 28-4 16-1 20-14 16-1 8-9 11-3 8-9 0.000

Conference Champions that MUST win conference tournament (not in the play-in round):
101. Harvard* (14, Ivy Leagye) 96.15 97.03 96.71 98.05 94.24 17-10 9-2 18-12 10-4 6-5 12-7 7-6 0.000
103. Vermont* (14, America East) 95.85 98.83 98.71 97.09 94.61 26-6 15-2 22-12 16-2 11-6 11-6 10-8 0.000
107. Georgia St.* (14, Sun Belt) 95.58 93.53 97.19 98.23 92.93 22-9 13-1 17-19 13-5 7-8 8-10 9-9 0.000
127. Old Dominion* (15, C-USA) 94.34 93.05 96.95 96.16 92.52 24-8 14-2 14-22 14-5 9-7 4-12 3-15 0.000
144. Montana* (16W, Big Sky) 93.18 84.32 95.30 93.88 92.48 24-8 11-2 15-20 17-4 5-7 9-10 10-11 0.000

Conference Champions that would be in the play-in round in Dayton:
16. 170. Fairleign Dickinson***(16PE, NEC)91.17 95.37 88.35 92.87 89.47 20-13 13-4 20-14 15-6 7-9 13-5 12-9 0.000
16. 198. Sam Houston St.*(16PE, Southland89.67 82.83 90.43 90.64 88.70 21-10 13-2 23-11 16-2 8-6 15-5 12-6 0.000
16. 209. Prarie View A&M* (16PMW, SWAC)89.16 87.84 87.67 90.37 87.94 20-12 11-0 21-15 18-1 6-4 15-11 13-5 0.000
16. 218. Norfolk St.* (16PMW, MEAC) 88.68 81.40 87.97 90.39 86.98 20-12 11-2 18-14 15-2 7-5 11-7 9-7 0.000

Conference Champions that failed to win or are no longer alive for automatic bid (if in tourney, seed in parentheses):
5. Texas Tech+ (2E) 108.54 117.97 107.82 110.42 106.66 26-6 17-1 20-18 14-5 11-11 7-5 11-8 0.000
8. Gonzaga+ (1W) 107.99 112.71 108.88 109.58 106.41 30-3 17-0 27-12 17-1 17-3 7-6 10-7 0.000
22. LSU+ (6S) 104.68 104.87 105.87 105.04 104.33 26-6 15-2 20-12 16-3 8-9 12-3 13-6 0.000
68. Belmont+ 99.00 107.97 99.78 100.26 97.74 26-5 13-1 20-11 17-3 8-4 11-6 11-6 0.000
80. Hofstra+ 97.60 85.84 99.54 99.13 96.06 27-7 15-1 24-16 17-4 11-8 13-5 8-13 0.000
100. South Dakota St.+ 96.18 88.26 96.19 98.74 93.61 24-8 14-1 17-21 14-3 7-10 7-9 7-10 0.000
110. Loyola-Chicago+ 95.33 94.98 94.83 97.66 93.00 20-13 13-4 16-23 13-7 9-12 5-9 10-10 0.000
130. Wright St.+ 94.10 91.97 92.66 97.06 91.15 21-13 15-2 22-15 15-6 13-4 7-9 13-7 0.000
159. Lipscomb+ 92.07 87.37 96.51 92.55 91.59 25-7 14-3 16-17 16-3 4-12 12-5 6-12 0.000
163. Campbell+ 91.76 86.36 89.60 94.81 88.71 20-12 12-2 21-13 13-5 8-5 11-6 12-6 0.000
248. St. Francis-PA+ 86.92 87.64 87.73 88.44 85.41 18-14 12-4 16-18 14-7 6-9 10-9 10-11 0.000

Multiple Bids By Conference:
ACC (9)
Big 10 (6)
Big 12 (6)
SEC (6)
Big East (5)
Pac-12 (4)
American (4)
Atlantic 10 (2)
Mountain West (2)
West Coast Conference (2)

Last four in field that do not have to play in the first round in Dayton:
39. West Virginia (11E) 102.29 102.45 97.53 105.26 99.32 14-19 10-6 11-22 6-14 7-9 4-13 9-11 0.000
42. Iowa St. (11S) 102.06 98.73 104.16 103.44 100.68 21-11 12-4 17-15 10-9 9-7 8-8 9-10 0.000
43. Syracuse (11MW) 101.98 103.27 101.89 102.53 101.43 20-13 13-6 19-14 11-9 10-9 9-5 13-7 0.000
44. Providence (11W) 101.94 101.37 99.23 102.51 101.38 18-15 11-6 15-18 8-12 7-10 8-8 8-12 0.000

Last four at-large in field that must play in the first round in Dayton:
45. Clemson (13PW) 101.81 104.23 100.27 103.98 99.63 19-13 13-4 14-18 9-10 8-9 6-9 10-9 0.000
46. North Carolina St. (12PE) 101.68 104.77 102.23 103.32 100.05 22-11 15-4 19-13 10-10 10-9 9-4 9-10 0.000
47. Louisville (12PE) 101.56 98.10 103.57 103.64 99.48 20-13 14-4 17-14 11-9 8-8 9-6 11-9 0.000
48. UCF (13PW) 101.50 103.66 101.42 104.27 98.73 23-8 15-2 17-13 13-6 8-8 9-5 10-9 0.000

First four out:
50. Memphis 101.25 101.71 98.86 104.91 97.59 21-12 17-2 18-14 13-7 12-6 6-8 9-10 0.000
51. Iowa 101.25 93.79 104.11 103.26 99.24 22-10 14-4 13-19 11-10 6-12 7-7 8-13 0.000
52. Seton Hall 101.15 103.06 102.13 104.41 97.89 19-12 13-4 15-15 10-9 7-9 8-6 9-10 0.000
54. Davidson 100.83 94.40 101.58 103.57 98.10 23-8 14-1 15-14 14-4 8-5 7-9 10-8 0.000

Next four out:
55. Minnesota 100.82 103.77 101.65 104.35 97.29 20-12 14-3 17-15 10-11 9-8 8-7 12-9 0.000
56. Wichita St. 100.75 95.54 97.28 102.49 99.01 18-13 11-4 14-15 11-8 7-7 7-8 10-8 0.000
57. Baylor 100.73 100.69 101.17 101.63 99.82 19-13 12-5 16-14 10-9 7-9 9-5 9-8 0.000
58. Penn St. 100.71 107.00 96.73 102.59 98.82 14-18 9-6 14-18 7-14 6-9 8-9 11-10 0.000

Third set of four out:
60. Georgetown 100.37 102.25 98.97 102.00 98.74 19-13 13-5 13-18 9-10 7-10 6-8 9-10 0.000
61. Utah 100.05 82.44 99.24 100.61 99.50 17-14 10-6 15-16 11-8 7-9 8-7 12-7 0.000
62. Ohio St. 99.80 96.05 100.95 101.02 98.59 19-14 12-6 14-19 9-13 5-13 9-6 10-12 0.000
64. Texas 99.54 100.39 100.11 101.84 97.24 16-16 12-6 16-16 8-11 9-9 7-7 11-8 0.000

Fourth set of four out:
65. Rhode Island 99.54 95.78 96.53 100.67 98.40 18-14 9-5 16-16 11-9 7-7 9-9 11-9 0.000
66. St. Bonaventure 99.53 96.18 94.31 101.20 97.86 17-15 10-5 15-15 13-6 8-6 7-9 10-8 0.000
67. San Diego St. 99.45 89.19 97.60 101.88 97.03 20-12 14-3 16-15 12-7 11-5 5-10 11-8 0.000
68. TCU 99.33 102.00 102.15 101.22 97.45 20-13 12-5 15-18 8-12 7-10 8-8 6-14 0.000

NCAA Bracketology following games of Thursday, March 14, 2019

Listed are the first round games as we see them:

The rankings are done via PowerBase Software that uses the ELO Chess system for ratings, crunching the numbers with the most recent 25 days of games given the most weight, which is why we have some schools considerably higher and others considerably lower than others. While some human element is used (especially with conference leaders), generally, the ratings dictate the seedings.

All match-ups are first round games except where the teams having to play the opening (play-in) round in Dayton are noted. The first number is seeding, second number is PowerBase ranking going into Friday, March 15:

Conference leader in parentheses that are shown currently hold automatic bid with such.

(NOTE: All Data this comes from is available on Patreon at: https://www.patreon.com/posts/ncaa-rankings-14-25389392 with an NCAA Pool Kit coming after the Conference Tournaments and once the field of 68 is announced, FINAL Regular Season Data is available on Patreon at: https://www.patreon.com/posts/final-2018-19-25286835).

*-Regular Season Champion
**-Highest seed remaining in conference tournament
***-Conference Tournament champion and has automatic berth
+-Regular season champion no longer alive for automatic berth

East Regional (Finals in Washington DC 3/29-31):
Sub-regional in Hartford 3/21-23:
1. 1. Virginia* (1E, ACC) 116.68 121.09 114.93 117.64 115.71 29-2 15-1 26-11 17-2 11-8 12-2 12-6 0.000
vs. winner of play-in game in Dayton Tues. 3/19:
16. 170. Fairleign Dickinson***(16PE, NEC)91.17 95.37 88.35 92.87 89.47 20-13 13-4 20-14 15-6 7-9 13-5 12-9 0.000
16. 198. Sam Houston St.*(16PE, Southland89.67 82.83 90.43 90.64 88.70 21-10 13-2 23-11 16-2 8-6 15-5 12-6 0.000

8. 33. Maryland (8E) 103.42 101.73 104.24 105.63 101.20 22-10 16-3 19-20 13-8 11-14 8-4 13-8 0.000
9. 34. Indiana (9E) 102.83 103.61 100.50 105.03 100.63 17-15 13-5 18-21 8-13 12-11 6-9 9-12 0.000

Sub-Regional in Columbia, SC 3/22-24:
4. 15. VCU* (4E, Atlantic 10) 106.45 113.71 104.28 108.45 104.45 25-6 16-1 23-12 16-2 11-7 11-5 13-5 0.000
13. 99. Iona*+ (13E, MAAC) 96.19 99.29 90.58 97.88 94.50 17-15 8-3 15-21 15-6 6-6 7-12 13-8 0.000

5. 19. Buffalo* (5E, MAC) 105.21 115.53 105.50 106.43 103.99 28-3 14-0 16-12 16-2 7-5 9-7 8-9 0.000
vs. winner of play-in game in Dayton Wed 3/20:
12. 46. Seton Hall (12PE) 101.67 103.99 102.10 104.88 98.46 19-12 13-4 19-17 10-9 8-10 8-7 9-10 0.000
12. 47. Louisville (12PE) 101.58 98.59 103.61 103.64 99.51 20-13 14-4 20-16 11-9 10-9 8-5 11-9 0.000

Sub-Regional in Tulsa 3/22-24:
2. 5. Texas Tech+ (2E) 108.54 117.97 107.82 110.42 106.66 26-6 17-1 20-18 14-5 11-11 7-5 11-8 0.000
15. 127. Old Dominion* (15E, C-USA) 94.34 93.05 96.95 96.16 92.52 24-8 14-2 14-22 14-5 9-7 4-12 3-15 0.000

7. 28. Washington* (7E, Pac-12) 103.66 86.25 104.72 105.09 102.22 25-7 15-2 19-19 16-3 11-9 7-7 12-7 0.000
10. 38. Temple (10E) 102.18 95.56 102.73 104.24 100.12 23-8 13-2 21-16 13-5 8-11 11-4 12-6 0.000

Sub-Regional in Columbus 3/22-24:
3. 10. Purdue (3E) 107.80 110.17 105.97 110.45 105.16 23-8 15-0 23-15 16-4 13-5 8-8 11-9 0.000
14. 105. Colgate*+ (14E, Patriot) 95.74 95.36 94.61 97.94 93.53 24-10 15-1 21-18 16-5 10-7 11-11 12-9 0.000

6. 23. Villanova* (6E, Big East) 104.40 100.25 105.53 107.91 100.88 23-9 13-2 22-16 14-5 8-10 9-5 11-8 0.000
11. 43. North Carolina St. (11E) 101.85 104.82 102.28 103.48 100.22 22-11 15-4 24-15 10-10 14-11 7-3 9-10 0.000
Midwest Regional (Finals in Kansas City 3/29-31):
Sub-regional in Columbia, SC 3/22-24:
1. 2. North Carolina (1MW) 112.97 123.19 110.79 114.03 111.91 27-5 14-2 27-13 17-2 12-7 13-4 13-6 0.000
vs. winner of play-in game in Dayton Wed. 3/20:
16. 209. Prarie View A&M* (16PMW, SWAC)89.16 87.84 87.67 90.37 87.94 20-12 11-0 21-15 18-1 6-4 15-11 13-5 0.000
16. 218. Norfolk St.* (16PMW, MEAC) 88.68 81.40 87.97 90.39 86.98 20-12 11-2 18-14 15-2 7-5 11-7 9-7 0.000

8. 30. Mississippi St. (8MW) 103.56 103.08 103.68 105.40 101.72 23-9 15-3 18-17 11-8 10-9 6-6 10-7 0.000
9. 31. Marquette (9MW) 103.53 101.44 105.49 104.51 102.56 24-8 16-3 20-19 13-6 13-10 7-7 11-8 0.000

Sub-Regional in Salt Lake City 3/21-23:
4. 16. Houston* (4MW, American) 105.96 103.59 107.97 107.02 104.89 29-2 19-1 19-14 16-2 9-12 10-2 11-7 0.000
13. 56. New Mexico St.* (13MW, WAC)100.60 114.98 100.64 102.07 99.12 28-4 16-1 20-14 16-1 8-9 11-3 8-9 0.000

5. 18. Auburn (5MW) 105.32 103.91 104.13 108.22 102.42 23-9 15-2 21-15 12-7 13-5 5-9 10-9 0.000
12. 50. Northeastern*** (12MW, Colonial)101.10 96.82 98.84 102.79 99.42 23-10 11-2 21-18 17-4 7-7 11-9 14-6 0.000

Sub-regional in Tulsa 3/22-24:
2. 6. Kansas St.** (2MW, Big 12) 108.53 111.10 106.99 110.14 106.91 25-7 13-2 23-14 15-4 7-10 11-4 14-5 0.000
15. 133. Bradley*** (15MW, MVC) 93.90 97.72 92.85 95.06 92.73 20-14 10-6 18-20 12-9 6-12 7-8 11-9 0.000

7. 27. Nevada* (7MW, Mountain West)103.77 92.46 106.61 106.23 101.32 29-3 15-0 22-15 16-3 12-5 9-7 10-9 0.000
10. 39. UC-Irvine* (10MW, Big West)102.15 98.70 100.63 102.54 101.77 28-5 12-2 24-14 16-1 9-4 13-8 11-5 0.000

Sub-Regional in Des Moines 3/21-23:
3. 9. Michigan (3MW) 107.99 111.23 109.60 109.92 106.05 26-5 17-1 20-18 15-5 9-13 9-5 12-8 0.000
14. 103. Vermont* (14MW, America East)95.85 98.83 98.71 97.09 94.61 26-6 15-2 22-12 16-2 11-6 11-6 10-8 0.000

6. 21. VA Tech (6MW) 105.01 108.78 104.91 107.10 102.91 24-8 14-2 22-15 13-7 11-7 6-7 8-11 0.000
11. 44. Clemson (11MW) 101.83 104.21 100.31 104.02 99.65 19-13 13-4 15-24 9-10 8-13 6-7 10-9 0.000
South Regional (Finals in Louisville 3/28-30):
Sub-Regional in Des Moines 3/21-23:
1. 3. Michigan St.* (1S, Big 12) 109.92 113.26 109.52 111.82 108.02 25-6 15-1 28-10 16-4 14-5 11-5 15-5 0.000
16. 152. North Dskota St.*** (16W, Summit)92.70 87.60 91.38 94.71 90.68 17-15 10-3 17-20 11-7 9-3 6-13 10-8 0.000

8. 29. Xavier (8S) 103.59 109.14 100.36 105.47 101.71 18-14 12-5 18-20 10-9 8-12 7-7 11-8 0.000
9. 37. Wofford*+ (9S, Southern) 102.54 119.53 102.06 103.57 101.50 29-4 15-1 23-12 21-0 7-8 13-4 15-6 0.000

Sub-Regional in Salt Lake City 3/21-23:
4. 13. Kansas (4S) 106.61 110.47 108.80 110.99 102.22 24-8 18-0 15-21 13-6 9-10 4-10 8-10 0.000
13. 63. Murray St.*** (13S, OVC) 99.58 110.28 98.98 100.98 98.19 27-4 15-1 20-12 18-2 8-8 11-3 12-8 0.000

5. 17. Buffalo* (5S, MAC) 105.47 115.63 105.56 106.57 104.37 29-3 14-0 21-13 17-2 9-6 11-7 9-9 0.000
12. 48. St. Mary’s*** (12S, WCC) 101.36 104.05 98.77 103.23 99.49 22-11 14-3 22-17 13-5 12-8 6-7 9-9 0.000

Sub-Regional in Columbus 3/22-24:
2. 4. Kentucky (2S) 109.28 109.01 109.33 111.16 107.40 26-5 17-1 17-21 15-3 10-14 6-6 8-10 0.000
15. 131. Northern Kentucky*** (15S, Horizon)94.00 89.31 95.77 96.22 91.78 26-8 17-1 15-23 16-5 8-11 6-12 10-11 0.000

7. 26. Cincinnati (7S) 104.01 103.64 104.72 105.87 102.14 25-6 16-2 16-22 14-4 9-14 5-8 5-13 0.000
10. 40. Iowa St. (10S) 101.98 99.27 104.23 103.40 100.56 21-11 12-4 21-18 10-9 11-9 7-7 9-10 0.000

Sub-Regional in Jacksonville 3/21-23:
3. 11. Florida St. (3S) 107.41 116.64 107.54 110.07 104.75 26-6 15-1 17-22 14-5 9-10 5-9 10-9 0.000
14. 107. Georgia St.* (14S, Sun Belt)95.58 93.53 97.19 98.23 92.93 22-9 13-1 17-19 13-5 7-8 8-10 9-9 0.000

6. 22. Arizona St. (6S) 104.72 89.99 104.41 106.51 102.94 22-9 13-3 19-16 13-6 10-8 6-7 11-8 0.000
11. 42. Providence (11S) 101.92 101.71 99.20 102.51 101.32 18-15 11-6 17-23 8-12 8-13 7-7 8-12 0.000
West Regional (Finals in Anaheim 3/28-30):
Sub-regional in San Jose 3/22-24:
1. 8. Gonzaga+ (1W) 107.99 112.71 108.88 109.58 106.41 30-3 17-0 27-12 17-1 17-3 7-6 10-7 0.000
16. 144. Montana* (16W, Big Sky) 93.18 84.32 95.30 93.88 92.48 24-8 11-2 15-20 17-4 5-7 9-10 10-11 0.000

8. 32. Utah St. (8W) 103.51 96.89 101.79 104.98 102.04 26-6 14-1 24-13 16-3 14-4 8-7 8-10 0.000
9. 35. Colorado (9W) 102.79 85.59 100.14 105.97 99.62 21-11 13-2 21-15 12-8 14-3 5-10 11-9 0.000

Sub-Regional in San Jose 3/22-24:
4. 14. Wisconsin (4W) 106.49 105.52 105.96 107.98 105.01 22-9 12-3 20-18 14-6 8-10 10-7 10-10 0.000
13. 101. Harvard* (13W, Ivy Leagye) 96.15 97.03 96.71 98.05 94.24 17-10 9-2 18-12 10-4 6-5 12-7 7-6 0.000

5. 19. Oregon (5W) 105.17 88.01 101.57 107.20 103.13 21-12 13-4 17-21 12-8 8-12 6-8 11-9 0.000
vs. winner of play-in game in Dayton Wed 3/20:
12. 45. UCF (12PW) 101.83 106.04 101.86 104.40 99.27 23-7 15-2 22-13 13-5 10-9 9-4 10-8 0.000
12. 49. Iowa (12PW) 101.23 94.00 104.01 103.25 99.22 22-10 14-4 15-23 11-10 6-16 5-7 8-13 0.000

Sub-Regional in Hartford 3/21-23:
2. 7. Duke (2W) 108.49 110.03 111.72 109.59 107.40 27-5 16-2 21-17 15-4 12-8 7-6 8-10 0.000
15. 138. Gardner-Webb*** (15W, A-Sun)93.44 88.30 92.02 95.97 90.90 23-11 14-0 23-16 14-6 6-5 14-9 12-9 0.000

7. 25. Dayton (7W) 104.16 98.62 100.41 104.28 104.05 21-10 13-4 20-16 13-5 9-10 9-4 10-8 0.000
10. 36. Creighton (10W) 102.67 108.06 100.60 104.16 101.18 18-14 11-6 20-18 9-10 9-11 8-6 10-9 0.000

Sub-Regional in Jacksonville 3/21/23:
3. 12. Tennessee (3W) 106.99 106.80 108.63 109.57 104.41 27-4 18-0 17-15 15-3 9-8 6-6 9-9 0.000
14. 114. Liberty*** (14W, Atlantic Sun)95.16 95.46 95.78 95.60 94.71 28-6 17-2 22-14 17-2 8-10 14-4 9-10 0.000

6. 24. Oklahoma (6W) 104.25 106.38 103.74 106.97 101.53 20-12 12-4 23-13 8-11 11-7 9-5 7-11 0.000
11. 41. Syracuse (11W) 101.98 103.30 101.89 102.53 101.43 20-13 13-6 22-17 11-9 12-10 8-5 13-7 0.000

One significant rule change this year: Whereas in the past teams hosting a sub-regional or regional could not play on the same days as said regional, that rule has been rescinded for 2019 and such may now play on the same day they are hosting a sub-regional or regional (this will allow BYU in future years to host a sub-regional or regional).

There is no mention anywhere, and especially in this official article from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com/news/basketball-men/article/2018-10-19/how-field-68-teams-picked-march-madness) of whether or not a team with a losing record can be an at-large.

BYU due to religious beliefs must be slotted in a Thursday-Saturday regional (Louisville or Anaheim) and before it a Thursday-Saturday sub-regional. BYU is not allowed to play on Sundays and is why the west regional is always Thursday-Saturday.

Dayton can play in the “first four” on their home floor and except for the final four is the only allowable such instance.

Officially IN the field of 68 as Conference Tournament Champion:
37. Wofford*+ (9S, Southern) 102.54 119.53 102.06 103.57 101.50 29-4 15-1 23-12 21-0 7-8 13-4 15-6 0.000
48. St. Mary’s*** (12, WCC) 101.36 104.05 98.77 103.23 99.49 22-11 14-3 22-17 13-5 12-8 6-7 9-9 0.000
50. Northeastern*** (12, Colonial)101.10 96.82 98.84 102.79 99.42 23-10 11-2 21-18 17-4 7-7 11-9 14-6 0.000
63. Murray St.*** (13, OVC) 99.58 110.28 98.98 100.98 98.19 27-4 15-1 20-12 18-2 8-8 11-3 12-8 0.000
99. Iona*+ (13, MAAC) 96.19 99.29 90.58 97.88 94.50 17-15 8-3 15-21 15-6 6-6 7-12 13-8 0.000
105. Colgate*+ (14, Patriot) 95.74 95.36 94.61 97.94 93.53 24-10 15-1 21-18 16-5 10-7 11-11 12-9 0.000
114. Liberty*** (15, Atlantic Sun)95.16 95.46 95.78 95.60 94.71 28-6 17-2 22-14 17-2 8-10 14-4 9-10 0.000
127. Bradley*** (15MW, MVC) 94.09 98.19 92.75 95.25 92.92 20-14 10-6 15-16 12-9 5-10 10-6 11-9 0.000
131. Northern Kentucky*** (15, Horizon)94.00 89.31 95.77 96.22 91.78 26-8 17-1 15-23 16-5 8-11 6-12 10-11 0.000
138. Gardner-Webb*** (15, A-Sun) 93.44 88.30 92.02 95.97 90.90 23-11 14-0 23-16 14-6 6-5 14-9 12-9 0.000
152. North Dskota St.*** (16S, Summit)92.70 87.60 91.38 94.71 90.68 17-15 10-3 17-20 11-7 9-3 6-13 10-8 0.000
170. Fairleign Dickinson***(16PE, NEC)91.17 95.37 88.35 92.87 89.47 20-13 13-4 20-14 15-6 7-9 13-5 12-9 0.000

Conference Champions that are locks to be in no matter what:
1. Virginia* (1E, ACC) 116.68 121.09 114.93 117.64 115.71 29-2 15-1 26-11 17-2 11-8 12-2 12-6 0.000
3. Michigan St.* (1S, Big 12) 109.92 113.26 109.52 111.82 108.02 25-6 15-1 28-10 16-4 14-5 11-5 15-5 0.000
15. VCU* (4E, Atlantic 10) 106.45 113.71 104.28 108.45 104.45 25-6 16-1 23-12 16-2 11-7 11-5 13-5 0.000
16. Houston* (4MW, American) 105.96 103.59 107.97 107.02 104.89 29-2 19-1 19-14 16-2 9-12 10-2 11-7 0.000
17. Buffalo* (5S, MAC) 105.47 115.63 105.56 106.57 104.37 29-3 14-0 21-13 17-2 9-6 11-7 9-9 0.000
20. LSU* (5E, SEC) 105.12 107.43 106.56 105.48 104.77 26-5 15-2 23-15 16-2 9-12 11-2 13-5 0.000
23. Villanova* (6E, Big East) 104.40 100.25 105.53 107.91 100.88 23-9 13-2 22-16 14-5 8-10 9-5 11-8 0.000
27. Nevada* (7MW, Mountain West)103.77 92.46 106.61 106.23 101.32 29-3 15-0 22-15 16-3 12-5 9-7 10-9 0.000
28. Washington* (7E, Pac-12) 103.66 86.25 104.72 105.09 102.22 25-7 15-2 19-19 16-3 11-9 7-7 12-7 0.000

Conference Champions that probably need to win games in conference tournament to get an at-large bid (failing to get auto bid):
39. UC-Irvine* (10MW, Big West)102.15 98.70 100.63 102.54 101.77 28-5 12-2 24-14 16-1 9-4 13-8 11-5 0.000
56. New Mexico St.* (13, WAC) 100.60 114.98 100.64 102.07 99.12 28-4 16-1 20-14 16-1 8-9 11-3 8-9 0.000

Conference Champions that MUST win conference tournament (not in the play-in round):
101. Harvard* (14, Ivy Leagye) 96.15 97.03 96.71 98.05 94.24 17-10 9-2 18-12 10-4 6-5 12-7 7-6 0.000
103. Vermont* (14, America East) 95.85 98.83 98.71 97.09 94.61 26-6 15-2 22-12 16-2 11-6 11-6 10-8 0.000
107. Georgia St.* (14, Sun Belt) 95.58 93.53 97.19 98.23 92.93 22-9 13-1 17-19 13-5 7-8 8-10 9-9 0.000
127. Old Dominion* (15, C-USA) 94.34 93.05 96.95 96.16 92.52 24-8 14-2 14-22 14-5 9-7 4-12 3-15 0.000
144. Montana* (16W, Big Sky) 93.18 84.32 95.30 93.88 92.48 24-8 11-2 15-20 17-4 5-7 9-10 10-11 0.000

Conference Champions that would be in the play-in round in Dayton:
16. 170. Fairleign Dickinson***(16PE, NEC)91.17 95.37 88.35 92.87 89.47 20-13 13-4 20-14 15-6 7-9 13-5 12-9 0.000
16. 198. Sam Houston St.*(16PE, Southland89.67 82.83 90.43 90.64 88.70 21-10 13-2 23-11 16-2 8-6 15-5 12-6 0.000
16. 209. Prarie View A&M* (16PMW, SWAC)89.16 87.84 87.67 90.37 87.94 20-12 11-0 21-15 18-1 6-4 15-11 13-5 0.000
16. 218. Norfolk St.* (16PMW, MEAC) 88.68 81.40 87.97 90.39 86.98 20-12 11-2 18-14 15-2 7-5 11-7 9-7 0.000

Conference Champions that failed to win or are no longer alive for automatic bid (if in tourney, seed in parentheses):
5. Texas Tech+ (2E) 108.54 117.97 107.82 110.42 106.66 26-6 17-1 20-18 14-5 11-11 7-5 11-8 0.000
8. Gonzaga+ (1W) 107.99 112.71 108.88 109.58 106.41 30-3 17-0 27-12 17-1 17-3 7-6 10-7 0.000
68. Belmont+ 99.00 107.97 99.78 100.26 97.74 26-5 13-1 20-11 17-3 8-4 11-6 11-6 0.000
80. Hofstra+ 97.60 85.84 99.54 99.13 96.06 27-7 15-1 24-16 17-4 11-8 13-5 8-13 0.000
100. South Dakota St.+ 96.18 88.26 96.19 98.74 93.61 24-8 14-1 17-21 14-3 7-10 7-9 7-10 0.000
110. Loyola-Chicago+ 95.33 94.98 94.83 97.66 93.00 20-13 13-4 16-23 13-7 9-12 5-9 10-10 0.000
130. Wright St.+ 94.10 91.97 92.66 97.06 91.15 21-13 15-2 22-15 15-6 13-4 7-9 13-7 0.000
159. Lipscomb+ 92.07 87.37 96.51 92.55 91.59 25-7 14-3 16-17 16-3 4-12 12-5 6-12 0.000
163. Campbell+ 91.76 86.36 89.60 94.81 88.71 20-12 12-2 21-13 13-5 8-5 11-6 12-6 0.000
248. St. Francis-PA+ 86.92 87.64 87.73 88.44 85.41 18-14 12-4 16-18 14-7 6-9 10-9 10-11 0.000

Multiple Bids By Conference:
ACC (9)
Big 10 (7)
Big East (6)
Big 12 (5)
SEC (5)
Pac-12 (4)
American (4)
Atlantic 10 (2)
Mountain West (2)

Last four in field that do not have to play in the first round in Dayton:
41. Syracuse (11W) 101.98 103.30 101.89 102.53 101.43 20-13 13-6 22-17 11-9 12-10 8-5 13-7 0.000
42. Providence (11S) 101.92 101.71 99.20 102.51 101.32 18-15 11-6 17-23 8-12 8-13 7-7 8-12 0.000
43. North Carolina St. (11E) 101.85 104.82 102.28 103.48 100.22 22-11 15-4 24-15 10-10 14-11 7-3 9-10 0.000
44. Clemson (11MW) 101.83 104.21 100.31 104.02 99.65 19-13 13-4 15-24 9-10 8-13 6-7 10-9 0.000

Last four at-large in field that must play in the first round in Dayton:
45. UCF (12PW) 101.83 106.04 101.86 104.40 99.27 23-7 15-2 22-13 13-5 10-9 9-4 10-8 0.000
46. Seton Hall (12PE) 101.67 103.99 102.10 104.88 98.46 19-12 13-4 19-17 10-9 8-10 8-7 9-10 0.000
47. Louisville (12PE) 101.58 98.59 103.61 103.64 99.51 20-13 14-4 20-16 11-9 10-9 8-5 11-9 0.000
49. Iowa (12PW) 101.23 94.00 104.01 103.25 99.22 22-10 14-4 15-23 11-10 6-16 5-7 8-13 0.000

First four out:
51. Florida 100.90 100.75 100.12 101.63 100.18 18-14 10-6 16-22 10-9 6-13 7-7 7-11 0.000
52. Davidson 100.83 94.16 101.53 103.57 98.10 23-8 14-1 20-16 14-4 11-6 7-8 10-8 0.000
53. Minnesota 100.82 104.21 101.63 104.35 97.29 20-12 14-3 21-17 10-11 11-8 8-8 12-9 0.000
54. Memphis 100.69 100.84 98.37 104.17 97.22 20-12 16-2 21-16 12-7 13-6 6-9 8-10 0.000

Next four out:
55. Penn St. 100.68 107.39 96.70 102.58 98.79 14-18 9-6 16-22 7-14 7-11 8-8 11-10 0.000
57. Wichita St. 100.53 95.54 97.23 102.27 98.79 18-13 11-4 16-18 11-8 8-8 6-8 10-8 0.000
58. Baylor 100.44 100.96 101.19 101.33 99.54 19-13 12-5 19-18 10-9 9-12 9-4 9-8 0.000
59. Georgetown 100.37 101.86 98.93 102.00 98.73 19-13 13-5 14-24 9-10 7-14 7-8 9-10 0.000

Third set of four out:
60. Ohio St. 100.34 95.41 101.13 101.55 99.14 19-13 12-6 16-23 9-12 6-17 8-6 9-12 0.000
61. West Virginia 100.10 100.03 96.94 103.12 97.08 13-20 10-6 12-27 5-15 8-11 3-12 9-11 0.000
62. Utah 100.05 82.31 99.25 100.61 99.50 17-14 10-6 17-20 11-8 8-10 8-7 12-7 0.000
64. Texas 99.46 100.81 100.19 101.77 97.15 16-16 12-6 18-20 8-11 10-11 7-7 11-8 0.000

Fourth set of four out:
65. San Diego St. 99.45 88.84 97.66 101.88 97.03 20-12 14-3 19-18 12-7 13-6 5-10 11-8 0.000
66. St. Bonaventure 99.17 96.07 93.92 100.81 97.53 16-15 10-5 16-20 12-6 10-7 6-10 9-8 0.000
67. TCU 99.07 100.60 102.12 100.99 97.15 20-13 12-5 16-22 8-12 8-14 5-6 6-14 0.000
68. Belmont+ 99.00 107.97 99.78 100.26 97.74 26-5 13-1 20-11 17-3 8-4 11-6 11-6 0.000

NCAA Bracketology following games of Wednesday, March 13, 2019

Listed are the first round games as we see them:

The rankings are done via PowerBase Software that uses the ELO Chess system for ratings, crunching the numbers with the most recent 25 days of games given the most weight, which is why we have some schools considerably higher and others considerably lower than others. While some human element is used (especially with conference leaders), generally, the ratings dictate the seedings.

All match-ups are first round games except where the teams having to play the opening (play-in) round in Dayton are noted. The first number is seeding, second number is PowerBase ranking going into Thursday, March 14:

Conference leader in parentheses that are shown currently hold automatic bid with such.

(NOTE: All Data this comes from is available on Patreon at: https://www.patreon.com/posts/ncaa-rankings-13-25364723 with an NCAA Pool Kit coming after the Conference Tournaments and once the field of 68 is announced, FINAL Regular Season Data is available on Patreon at: https://www.patreon.com/posts/final-2018-19-25286835).

*-Regular Season Champion
**-Highest seed remaining in conference tournament
***-Conference Tournament champion and has automatic berth
+-Regular season champion no longer alive for automatic berth

East Regional (Finals in Washington DC 3/29-31):
Sub-regional in Hartford 3/21-23:
1. 1. Virginia* (1E, ACC) 116.64 120.79 114.87 117.59 115.69 28-2 15-1 20-9 16-2 9-7 11-2 11-6 0.000
vs. winner of play-in game in Dayton Tues. 3/19:
16. 206. Sam Houston St.* (16PE, Southland)89.31 82.58 90.38 90.29 88.33 21-10 13-2 19-9 16-2 7-5 12-4 12-6 0.000
16. 219. Norfolk St.* (16PE, MEAC) 88.84 82.33 87.91 90.53 87.15 20-12 11-2 15-12 15-2 6-4 9-8 9-7 0.000

8. 31. Washington* (8E, Pac-12) 103.53 85.66 104.33 105.01 102.06 24-7 15-2 16-14 15-3 9-7 7-7 12-6 0.000
9. 33. Indiana (9E) 103.03 105.42 101.07 105.25 100.82 17-14 13-5 15-16 8-12 9-9 6-7 9-11 0.000

Sub-Regional in Hartford 3/21-23:
4. 13. Tennessee (4E) 106.75 106.65 108.60 109.32 104.19 27-4 18-0 15-13 15-3 8-7 7-6 9-9 0.000
13. 89. Harvard* (13E, Ivy League) 96.70 97.17 96.53 98.62 94.78 17-10 9-2 13-11 10-4 5-4 8-7 7-6 0.000

5. 19. Buffalo* (5E, MAC) 105.21 115.53 105.50 106.43 103.99 28-3 14-0 16-12 16-2 7-5 9-7 8-9 0.000
vs. winner of play-in game in Dayton Wed 3/20:
12. 47. Clemson (12PE) 101.58 103.61 100.38 103.81 99.35 19-13 13-4 14-18 9-10 8-9 6-9 10-9 0.000
12. 48. Seton Hall (12PE) 101.54 103.69 101.68 104.50 98.58 18-12 12-4 14-15 9-9 6-9 8-6 8-10 0.000

Sub-Regional in Columbus 3/22-24:
2. 7. Michigan (2E) 108.27 111.25 109.63 110.22 106.33 26-5 17-1 16-15 15-5 8-10 8-5 12-8 0.000
15. 133. Old Dominion* (15E, C-USA) 94.03 92.83 96.72 95.79 92.26 23-8 14-2 11-18 13-5 7-7 4-11 3-14 0.000

7. 26. Villanova* (7E, Big East) 104.21 99.86 105.18 107.69 100.73 22-9 13-2 17-13 13-5 7-7 10-6 10-8 0.000
10. 37. Temple (10E) 102.40 95.56 102.73 104.48 100.31 23-8 13-2 18-12 13-5 7-8 11-4 12-6 0.000

Sub-Regional in Columbia, SC 3/22-24:
3. 12. VCU* (3E, Atlantic 10) 106.97 113.65 104.21 109.01 104.94 25-6 16-1 20-9 16-2 10-5 10-4 13-5 0.000
14. 108. Georgia St.* (14E, Sun Belt)95.65 93.75 97.26 98.27 93.03 22-9 13-1 14-15 13-5 7-6 7-9 9-9 0.000

6. 24. Maryland (6E) 104.40 103.95 105.00 106.57 102.24 22-9 16-3 17-14 13-7 10-9 7-5 13-7 0.000
11. 43. North Carolina St. (11E) 102.09 105.03 102.33 103.70 100.47 22-10 15-4 19-12 10-9 10-9 9-3 9-9 0.000
Midwest Regional (Finals in Kansas City 3/29-31):
Sub-regional in Columbia, SC 3/22-24:
1. 2. North Carolina (1MW) 112.78 122.84 110.66 113.85 111.71 26-5 14-2 21-10 16-2 10-6 11-4 12-6 0.000
vs. winner of play-in game in Dayton Wed. 3/20:
16. 168. Fairleigh Dickinson***(16PMW, NEC)91.30 95.05 88.27 93.01 89.59 20-13 13-4 18-12 15-6 7-8 11-4 12-9 0.000
16. 201. Prairie View A&M* (16PMW, SWAC)89.57 87.53 87.56 90.80 88.33 20-12 11-0 17-12 18-1 6-4 11-8 13-5 0.000

8. 30. Xavier (8MW) 103.54 109.51 99.76 105.42 101.65 17-14 12-5 14-16 9-9 7-9 7-7 10-8 0.000
9. 35. Wofford*+ (9MW, Southern) 102.71 119.36 102.06 103.76 101.66 29-4 15-1 20-10 21-0 6-7 14-3 15-6 0.000

Sub-Regional in Salt Lake City 3/21-23:
4. 16. Houston* (4MW, American) 106.04 103.75 107.97 107.08 105.00 29-2 19-1 17-12 16-2 8-10 9-2 11-7 0.000
13. 96. Vermont* (13MW, America East)96.27 99.62 98.78 97.50 95.03 26-6 15-2 18-11 16-2 10-5 8-6 10-8 0.000

5. 20. Auburn (5MW) 105.11 103.07 103.95 108.01 102.22 22-9 15-2 15-14 11-7 10-5 5-9 9-9 0.000
12. 53. New Mexico St.* (12MW, WAC)100.54 114.75 100.71 101.96 99.12 27-4 16-1 15-13 15-1 6-8 9-5 7-9 0.000

Sub-regional in Tulsa 3/22-24:
2. 4. Texas Tech* (2MW, Big 12) 109.55 121.02 108.52 111.42 107.67 26-5 17-1 16-15 14-4 9-9 7-6 11-7 0.000
15. 124. Bradley*** (15MW, MVC) 94.28 98.05 92.80 95.44 93.13 20-14 10-6 15-16 12-9 5-10 10-6 11-9 0.000

7. 27. Nevada* (7MW, Mountain West)104.15 92.79 106.65 106.59 101.71 28-3 15-0 17-13 15-3 9-5 8-8 10-8 0.000
10. 40. Colorado (10MW) 102.32 85.42 99.63 105.54 99.10 20-11 13-2 16-14 11-8 11-3 5-11 10-9 0.000

Sub-Regional in Des Moines 3/21-23:
3. 9. Purdue (3MW) 107.74 110.95 106.01 110.39 105.09 23-8 15-0 18-13 16-4 11-4 7-9 11-9 0.000
14. 99. Colgate*+ (14MW, Patriot) 96.09 95.26 94.66 98.23 93.95 24-10 15-1 18-15 16-5 9-6 9-9 12-9 0.000

6. 21. Oklahoma (6MW) 104.67 106.25 103.61 107.36 101.98 20-12 12-4 18-12 8-11 9-7 9-5 7-11 0.000
11. 44. Baylor (11S) 101.91 102.68 101.58 102.79 101.03 19-12 12-5 16-13 10-8 7-9 9-4 9-7 0.000
South Regional (Finals in Louisville 3/28-30):
Sub-Regional in Des Moines 3/21-23:
1. 3. Michigan St.* (1S, Big 10) 110.46 113.16 109.57 112.39 108.54 25-6 15-1 23-8 16-4 12-4 11-4 15-5 0.000
16. 155. North Dakota St.*** (16S, Summit)92.27 87.37 91.39 94.28 90.26 17-15 10-3 15-15 11-7 8-3 7-12 10-8 0.000

8. 29. Utah St. (8S) 103.58 96.67 101.69 105.06 102.11 25-6 14-1 17-12 15-3 10-4 7-8 8-9 0.000
9. 34. Creighton (9S) 102.88 106.98 100.92 104.39 101.37 18-13 11-6 16-14 9-9 8-8 8-6 10-8 0.000

Sub-Regional in Salt Lake City 3/21-23:
4. 14. Kansas (4S) 106.53 110.15 108.57 110.86 102.21 23-8 17-0 12-18 12-6 8-8 4-10 7-10 0.000
13. 74. Hofstra* (13S, Colonial) 98.24 86.03 100.14 99.84 96.63 27-6 15-1 18-14 17-3 8-7 10-7 8-12 0.000

5. 17. Tennessee (5MW) 105.61 105.75 108.61 108.15 103.06 27-4 18-0 15-13 15-3 8-7 7-6 9-9 0.000
12. 56. New Mexico St.* (12S, WAC) 100.63 114.89 100.64 102.10 99.16 27-4 16-1 15-13 15-1 6-8 9-5 7-9 0.000

Sub-Regional in Columbus 3/22-24:
2. 5. Kentucky (2S) 109.54 109.37 109.25 111.45 107.62 26-5 17-1 15-16 15-3 8-10 7-6 8-10 0.000
15. 132. Northern Kentucky* (15S, Horizon)94.03 89.38 95.78 96.27 91.80 26-8 17-1 13-19 16-5 7-9 6-10 10-11 0.000

7. 25. Oregon (7S) 104.24 86.36 101.20 106.22 102.25 20-12 13-4 14-17 11-8 7-9 7-8 10-9 0.000
10. 38. Iowa St. (10S) 102.35 99.16 103.74 103.81 100.89 20-11 12-4 16-15 9-9 9-7 7-8 8-10 0.000

Sub-Regional in Jacksonville 3/21-23:
3. 11. Florida St. (3S) 107.10 116.17 107.13 109.79 104.42 25-6 15-1 13-18 13-5 7-9 6-9 9-9 0.000
14. 97. Iona*+ (14S, MAAC) 96.14 98.94 90.59 97.77 94.52 17-15 8-3 14-17 15-6 6-5 8-12 13-8 0.000

6. 22. Cincinnati (6S) 104.43 104.05 104.70 106.33 102.54 25-6 16-2 12-19 14-4 7-11 5-8 5-13 0.000
11. 44. Colorado (11S) 101.90 85.86 99.36 105.11 98.69 19-11 13-2 16-13 10-8 11-3 5-10 10-8 0.000
West Regional (Finals in Anaheim 3/28-30):
Sub-regional in San Jose 3/22-24:
1. 8. Gonzaga+ (1W) 108.17 114.42 108.87 109.76 106.58 30-3 17-0 21-11 17-1 13-3 8-8 10-7 0.000
16. 148. Montana* (16W, Big Sky) 93.02 84.05 95.07 93.72 92.33 23-8 11-2 13-16 16-4 4-7 9-9 10-10 0.000

8. 32. Mississippi St. (8W) 103.23 102.70 103.31 105.09 101.38 22-9 15-3 15-13 10-8 8-7 7-6 9-7 0.000
9. 36. UC-Irvine* (9W, Big West) 102.46 98.61 100.64 102.84 102.09 27-5 12-2 18-12 15-1 8-4 10-8 10-5 0.000

Sub-Regional in San Jose 3/22-24:
4. 15. Wisconsin (4W) 106.41 105.53 105.97 107.95 104.86 22-9 12-3 16-15 14-6 7-8 9-7 10-10 0.000
13. 64. Murray St.*** (13W, OVC) 99.85 110.21 98.90 101.27 98.44 27-4 15-1 18-11 18-2 7-7 11-4 12-8 0.000

5. 18. LSU* (5W, SEC) 105.37 107.71 106.60 105.75 105.00 26-5 15-2 20-11 16-2 8-9 12-2 13-5 0.000
vs. winner of play-in game in Dayton Wed 3/20:
12. 45. Providence (12PW) 101.71 102.56 99.49 102.30 101.13 18-14 11-6 15-17 8-11 7-10 8-7 8-11 0.000
12. 46. Marquette (12PW) 101.69 100.92 105.16 102.91 100.46 23-8 16-3 17-14 12-6 11-8 6-6 10-8 0.000

Sub-Regional in Jacksonville 3/21/23:
2. 6. Duke (2W) 108.37 109.78 111.50 109.47 107.27 26-5 16-2 17-13 14-4 10-7 7-6 8-9 0.000
15. 137. Gardner-Webb*** (15W, Big South)93.79 88.48 92.04 96.33 91.24 23-11 14-0 18-13 14-6 6-5 12-8 11-9 0.000

7. 28. Dayton (7W) 103.59 98.24 100.45 103.67 103.51 21-10 13-4 16-14 13-5 7-9 9-5 10-8 0.000
10. 39. Syracuse (10W) 102.33 103.65 102.15 102.90 101.77 20-12 13-6 18-14 11-8 10-9 8-5 12-7 0.000

Sub-Regional in Tulsa 3/22-24:
3. 10. Kansas St. (3W) 107.57 108.95 106.68 109.22 105.92 24-7 13-2 18-12 14-4 6-8 12-4 13-5 0.000
14. 112. Liberty*** (14W, Atlantic Sun)95.38 95.50 95.86 95.85 94.92 28-6 17-2 17-14 17-2 6-10 11-4 9-10 0.000

6. 23. Arizona St. (6W) 104.42 89.67 104.02 106.18 102.66 21-9 13-3 15-14 12-6 8-7 7-7 10-8 0.000
11. 41. UCF (11W) 102.12 106.18 101.86 104.67 99.57 23-7 15-2 17-12 13-5 8-8 9-4 10-8 0.000

One significant rule change this year: Whereas in the past teams hosting a sub-regional or regional could not play on the same days as said regional, that rule has been rescinded for 2019 and such may now play on the same day they are hosting a sub-regional or regional (this will allow BYU in future years to host a sub-regional or regional).

There is no mention anywhere, and especially in this official article from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com/news/basketball-men/article/2018-10-19/how-field-68-teams-picked-march-madness) of whether or not a team with a losing record can be an at-large.

BYU due to religious beliefs must be slotted in a Thursday-Saturday regional (Louisville or Anaheim) and before it a Thursday-Saturday sub-regional. BYU is not allowed to play on Sundays and is why the west regional is always Thursday-Saturday.

Dayton can play in the “first four” on their home floor and except for the final four is the only allowable such instance.

Officially IN the field of 68 as Conference Tournament Champion:
35. Wofford*+ (9, Southern) 102.57 119.15 102.05 103.60 101.53 29-4 15-1 23-12 21-0 7-8 13-4 15-6 0.000
49. Saint Mary’s*** (12, WCC) 101.32 102.34 98.83 103.20 99.44 22-11 14-3 22-17 13-5 12-8 6-7 9-9 0.000
52. Northeastern*** (13, Colonial)100.80 94.47 99.03 102.46 99.13 23-10 11-2 21-18 17-4 7-7 11-9 14-6 0.000
61. Murray St.*** (13MW, OVC) 100.07 110.04 98.84 101.51 98.62 27-4 15-1 18-11 18-2 7-7 11-4 12-8 0.000
100. Iona*+ (14, MAAC) 96.21 98.61 90.60 97.84 94.57 17-15 8-3 15-21 15-6 6-6 7-12 13-8 0.000
108. Colgate* (14, Patriot) 95.63 95.09 94.36 97.70 93.57 23-10 14-1 20-18 15-5 9-7 11-11 11-9 0.000
111. Liberty*** (15W, A-Sun) 95.46 95.46 95.86 95.91 95.02 28-6 17-2 22-14 17-2 8-10 14-4 9-10 0.000
127. Bradley*** (15MW, MVC) 94.09 98.19 92.75 95.25 92.92 20-14 10-6 15-16 12-9 5-10 10-6 11-9 0.000
134. Northern Kentucky*** (15S, Horizon)93.80 89.44 95.81 96.02 91.59 26-8 17-1 15-23 16-5 8-11 6-12 10-11 0.000
135. Gardner-Webb*** (15S, Big South)93.72 88.57 92.04 96.26 91.18 23-11 14-0 23-16 14-6 6-5 14-9 12-9 0.000
154. North Dakota St.***(16W, Summit)92.43 86.73 91.40 94.45 90.41 17-15 10-3 17-20 11-7 9-3 6-13 10-8 0.000
174. Fairleigh Dickinson*** (16PE, NEC)91.09 94.75 88.29 92.76 89.42 20-13 13-4 20-14 15-6 7-9 13-5 12-9 0.000

Conference Champions that are locks to be in no matter what:
1. Virginia* (1E, ACC) 116.54 120.29 114.85 117.48 115.60 28-2 15-1 20-9 16-2 9-7 11-2 11-6 0.000
3. Michigan St.* (1S, Big 10) 110.52 112.91 109.54 112.44 108.61 25-6 15-1 23-8 16-4 12-4 11-4 15-5 0.000
6. Texas Tech* (2MW, Big 12) 109.37 120.88 108.51 111.29 107.45 26-5 17-1 16-15 14-4 9-9 7-6 11-7 0.000
13. VCU* (4E, Atlantic 10) 106.78 113.29 104.24 108.81 104.76 25-6 16-1 20-9 16-2 10-5 10-4 13-5 0.0000
15. Houston* (4S, American) 106.25 103.95 108.02 107.28 105.21 29-2 19-1 17-12 16-2 8-10 9-2 11-7 0.000
18. Buffalo* (5E, MAC) 105.56 115.30 105.63 106.83 104.30 28-3 14-0 16-12 16-2 7-5 9-7 8-9 0.000
19. LSU* (5W, SEC) 105.39 108.94 106.61 105.71 105.07 26-5 15-2 20-11 16-2 8-9 12-2 13-5 0.000
24. Villanova* (6E, Big East) 104.20 100.68 105.19 107.68 100.71 22-9 13-2 17-13 13-5 7-7 10-6 10-8 0.000
25. Nevada* (6W, Mountain West)104.16 93.48 106.65 106.64 101.69 28-3 15-0 17-13 15-3 9-5 8-8 10-8 0.000

Conference Champions that probably need to win games in conference tournament to get an at-large bid (failing to get auto bid):
28. Washington* (7W, Pac-12) 103.66 86.01 104.38 105.12 102.21 24-7 15-2 16-14 15-3 9-7 7-7 12-6 0.000
30. UC-Irvine* (8W, Big West) 103.20 98.47 100.53 103.57 102.84 27-5 12-2 18-12 15-1 8-4 10-8 10-5 0.000
53. New Mexico St.* (12, WAC) 100.54 114.75 100.71 101.96 99.12 27-4 16-1 15-13 15-1 6-8 9-5 7-9 0.000

Conference Champions that MUST win conference tournament (not in the play-in round):
76. Harvard* (13, Ivy League) 97.62 98.31 96.60 99.56 95.68 17-10 9-2 18-12 10-4 6-5 12-7 7-6 0.000
84. Vermont* (14, America East) 97.00 100.59 98.75 98.25 95.74 26-6 15-2 22-12 16-2 11-6 11-6 10-8 0.000
104. Georgia St.* (14, Sun Belt) 95.85 93.85 97.25 98.46 93.23 22-9 13-1 17-19 13-5 7-8 8-10 9-9 0.000
128. Old Dominion* (15E, C-USA) 94.08 93.48 96.75 95.82 92.33 23-8 14-2 14-21 13-5 9-7 4-12 3-14 0.000
148. Montana* (16W, Big Sky) 92.97 84.25 95.08 93.68 92.26 23-8 11-2 15-19 16-4 5-7 9-10 10-10 0.000

Conference Champions that would be in the play-in round in Dayton:
16. 174. Fairleigh Dickinson*** (16PE, NEC)91.09 94.75 88.29 92.76 89.42 20-13 13-4 20-14 15-6 7-9 13-5 12-9 0.000
16. 205. Prairie View A&M* (16PE, SWAC)89.30 87.07 87.64 90.50 88.09 20-12 11-0 21-15 18-1 6-4 15-11 13-5 0.000
16. 223. Sam Houston St.* (16PMW, Southland)88.55 82.53 90.38 89.49 87.60 21-10 13-2 23-11 16-2 8-6 15-5 12-6 0.000
16. 226. Norfolk St.* (16PMW, MEAC) 88.44 83.63 87.84 90.11 86.77 19-12 11-2 18-13 14-2 7-5 11-7 9-6 0.000

Conference Champions that failed to win or are no longer alive for automatic bid:
9. Gonzaga+ (1W) 108.13 116.07 109.04 109.72 106.54 30-3 17-0 27-12 17-1 17-3 7-6 10-7 0.000
69. Belmont+ 99.09 107.60 99.75 100.33 97.84 26-5 13-1 16-10 17-3 6-4 10-6 11-6 0.000
83. Hofstra+ 97.20 84.97 99.71 98.78 95.61 27-7 15-1 24-16 17-4 11-8 13-5 8-13 0.000
101. South Dakota St.+ 96.09 90.10 96.08 98.68 93.51 24-8 14-1 14-17 14-3 6-8 8-9 7-10 0.000
123. Wright St.+ 94.43 92.47 92.65 97.36 91.50 21-13 15-2 22-15 15-6 13-4 7-9 13-7 0.000
141. Loyola-Chicago+ 93.46 93.73 94.78 95.77 91.15 20-13 13-4 14-18 13-7 8-8 6-10 10-10 0.000
156. Lipscomb+ 92.29 86.47 96.49 92.78 91.81 25-7 14-3 13-15 16-3 4-10 9-5 6-12 0.000
171. Campbell+ 91.19 85.91 89.60 94.26 88.12 20-12 12-2 17-11 13-5 7-4 10-7 12-6 0.000
233. St. Francis-PA+ 87.52 88.65 87.57 89.01 86.04 18-14 12-4 16-18 14-7 6-9 10-9 10-11 0.000

Multiple Bids By Conference:
ACC (9)
Big 10 (6)
Big 12 (6)
Big East (6)
SEC (5)
Pac-12 (4)
American (4)
Atlantic 10 (2)
Mountain West (2)

Last four in field that do not have to play in the first round in Dayton:
41. UCF (11W) 102.12 106.18 101.86 104.67 99.57 23-7 15-2 17-12 13-5 8-8 9-4 10-8 0.000
42. Louisville (11MW) 102.09 99.13 103.85 104.14 100.05 20-12 14-4 17-13 11-8 8-8 9-5 11-8 0.000
43. North Carolina St. (11E) 102.09 105.03 102.33 103.70 100.47 22-10 15-4 19-12 10-9 10-9 9-3 9-9 0.000
44. Baylor (11S) 101.91 102.68 101.58 102.79 101.03 19-12 12-5 16-13 10-8 7-9 9-4 9-7 0.000

Last four at-large in field that must play in the first round in Dayton:
45. Providence (12PW) 101.71 102.56 99.49 102.30 101.13 18-14 11-6 15-17 8-11 7-10 8-7 8-11 0.000
46. Marquette (12PW) 101.69 100.92 105.16 102.91 100.46 23-8 16-3 17-14 12-6 11-8 6-6 10-8 0.000
47. Clemson (12PE) 101.58 103.61 100.38 103.81 99.35 19-13 13-4 14-18 9-10 8-9 6-9 10-9 0.000
48. Seton Hall (12PE) 101.54 103.69 101.68 104.50 98.58 18-12 12-4 14-15 9-9 6-9 8-6 8-10 0.000

First four out:
49. Iowa 101.42 93.65 103.89 103.46 99.38 21-10 14-4 12-19 10-10 6-12 6-7 7-13 0.000
51. Utah 101.38 83.38 99.63 101.98 100.78 17-13 10-6 15-15 11-7 7-9 8-6 12-6 0.000
52. Penn St. 101.04 109.32 97.07 102.93 99.14 14-17 9-6 14-17 7-13 6-9 8-8 11-9 0.000
53. Florida 100.99 100.46 99.74 101.70 100.27 17-14 10-6 12-18 9-9 4-12 8-6 6-11 0.000

Next four out:
54. Davidson 100.78 93.99 101.45 103.51 98.05 23-8 14-1 15-14 14-4 8-5 7-9 10-8 0.000
55. Georgetown 100.69 101.87 99.28 102.14 99.24 19-12 13-5 13-17 9-9 7-10 6-7 9-9 0.000
58. Wichita St. 100.34 95.54 97.11 102.08 98.60 17-13 11-4 13-15 10-8 7-7 6-8 9-8 0.000
59. Memphis 100.25 100.48 98.30 103.71 96.78 19-12 15-2 17-13 11-7 11-5 6-8 8-9 0.000

Third set of four out:
60. Toledo 100.07 100.09 100.86 101.65 98.49 25-6 14-2 17-12 13-5 7-7 10-5 10-8 0.000
61. Minnesota 100.03 102.75 101.20 103.58 96.49 19-12 14-3 16-15 9-11 9-8 7-7 11-9 0.000
62. Oregon St. 99.94 81.10 99.49 100.13 99.75 18-12 10-6 17-12 10-8 7-8 10-4 11-6 0.000
63. Texas 99.87 101.32 100.36 102.11 97.64 16-15 12-6 16-15 8-10 9-9 7-6 11-7 0.000

Fourth set of four out:
65. Belmont+ 99.13 107.91 99.76 100.38 97.88 26-5 13-1 16-10 17-3 6-4 10-6 11-6 0.000
66. St. Bonaventure 99.07 96.07 93.98 100.71 97.42 16-15 10-5 14-15 12-6 8-6 6-9 9-8 0.000
67. TCU 99.01 99.08 102.36 100.94 97.08 20-12 12-5 15-17 8-11 7-10 8-7 6-13 0.000
68. South Carolina 98.88 97.42 97.67 100.65 97.11 16-15 11-6 14-16 11-7 7-9 7-7 12-6 0.000

NCAA Bracketology following games of Monday, March 11, 2019

Listed are the first round games as we see them:

The rankings are done via PowerBase Software that uses the ELO Chess system for ratings, crunching the numbers with the most recent 25 days of games given the most weight, which is why we have some schools considerably higher and others considerably lower than others. While some human element is used (especially with conference leaders), generally, the ratings dictate the seedings.

All match-ups are first round games except where the teams having to play the opening (play-in) round in Dayton are noted. The first number is seeding, second number is PowerBase ranking going into Tuesday, March 12:

Conference leader in parentheses that are shown currently hold automatic bid with such.

(NOTE: All Data this comes from is available on Patreon at: https://www.patreon.com/posts/ncaa-rankings-11-25325436 with an NCAA Pool Kit coming after the Conference Tournaments and once the field of 68 is announced, FINAL Regular Season Data is available on Patreon at: https://www.patreon.com/posts/final-2018-19-25286835).

*-Regular Season Champion
**-Highest seed remaining in conference tournament
***-Conference Tournament champion and has automatic berth
+-Regular season champion no longer alive for automatic berth

(Note: This was posted after play started on Tuesday)

East Regional (Finals in Washington DC 3/29-31):
Sub-regional in Hartford 3/21-23:
1. 1. Virginia* (1E, ACC) 116.54 120.29 114.85 117.48 115.60 28-2 15-1 20-9 16-2 9-7 11-2 11-6 0.000
vs. winner of play-in game in Dayton Tues. 3/19:
16. 222. Sam Houston St.*(16P, Southland)88.55 83.01 90.37 89.49 87.60 21-10 13-2 19-9 16-2 7-5 12-4 12-6 0.000
16. 223. Norfolk St.* (16P, MEAC) 88.47 83.78 87.82 90.12 86.81 19-12 11-2 15-11 14-2 6-4 9-7 9-6 0.000

8. 29. Utah St. (8E) 103.41 96.19 101.69 104.90 101.93 25-6 14-1 17-12 15-3 10-4 7-8 8-9 0.000
9. 36. Temple (9E) 102.34 95.24 102.75 104.43 100.25 23-8 13-2 18-12 13-5 7-8 11-4 12-6 0.000

Sub-Regional in Columbia, SC 3/22-24:
4. 13. VCU* (4E, Atlantic 10) 106.78 113.29 104.24 108.81 104.76 25-6 16-1 20-9 16-2 10-5 10-4 13-5 0.000
13. 73. Harvard* (13E, Ivy League) 98.30 98.13 96.60 100.27 96.34 17-10 9-2 13-11 10-4 5-4 8-7 7-6 0.000

5. 17. Buffalo* (5E, MAC) 105.72 115.15 105.60 106.93 104.51 28-3 14-0 16-12 16-2 7-5 9-7 8-9 0.000
vs. winner of play-in game in Dayton Wed 3/20:
12. 46. Seton Hall (12PE) 101.53 103.85 101.67 104.48 98.58 18-12 12-4 14-15 9-9 6-9 8-6 8-10 0.000
12. 49. Penn St. (12PE) 100.98 109.48 97.24 102.88 99.07 14-17 9-6 14-17 7-13 6-9 8-8 11-9 0.000

Sub-Regional in Columbus 3/22-24:
2. 7. Michigan (2E) 108.92 111.00 109.62 110.89 106.95 26-5 17-1 16-15 15-5 8-10 8-5 12-8 0.000
15. 112. Wright St.* (15E, Horizon) 95.43 93.31 93.11 98.36 92.51 21-12 15-2 18-12 15-5 10-4 8-8 13-6 0.000

7. 28. Washington* (7E, Pac-12) 103.66 86.01 104.38 105.12 102.21 24-7 15-2 16-14 15-3 9-7 7-7 12-6 0.000
10. 40. Syracuse (10E) 102.17 103.57 101.95 102.75 101.60 19-12 13-6 17-14 10-8 10-9 7-5 11-7 0.0000

Sub-Regional in Tulsa 3/22-24:
3. 11. Kansas St. (3E) 107.48 107.78 106.67 109.17 105.78 24-7 13-2 18-12 14-4 6-8 12-4 13-5 0.000
14. 106. Georgia St.* (14E, Sun Belt)95.85 93.79 97.24 98.46 93.23 22-9 13-1 14-15 13-5 7-6 7-9 9-9 0.000

6. 24. Villanova* (6E, Big East) 104.20 100.68 105.19 107.68 100.71 22-9 13-2 17-13 13-5 7-7 10-6 10-8 0.000
11. 42. Louisville (11E) 102.09 98.79 103.64 104.12 100.05 19-12 14-4 16-13 10-8 8-8 8-5 10-8 0.000
Midwest Regional (Finals in Kansas City 3/29-31):
Sub-regional in Columbia, SC 3/22-24:
1. 2. North Carolina (1MW) 112.70 122.15 110.63 113.80 111.59 26-5 14-2 21-10 16-2 10-6 11-4 12-6 0.000
vs. winner of play-in game in Dayton Wed. 3/20:
16. 207. Prairie View A&M* (16PMW, SWAC)89.23 86.68 87.58 90.38 88.07 19-12 10-0 16-12 17-1 5-4 11-8 12-5 0.000
16. 218. St. Francis-PA* (16PMW, NEC)88.69 90.67 88.03 90.42 86.96 18-13 12-3 13-15 14-6 5-8 8-7 10-10 0.000

8. 32. Indiana (8MW) 103.13 104.60 101.13 105.32 100.94 17-14 13-5 15-16 8-12 9-9 6-7 9-11 0.000
9. 34. Creighton (9MW) 102.82 106.76 100.92 104.30 101.34 18-13 11-6 16-14 9-9 8-8 8-6 10-8 0.000

Sub-Regional in Salt Lake City 3/21-23:
4. 16. Arizona St. (4MW) 105.85 88.84 104.05 107.66 104.04 21-9 13-3 15-14 12-6 8-7 7-7 10-8 0.000
13. 61. Murray St.*** (13MW, OVC) 100.07 110.04 98.84 101.51 98.62 27-4 15-1 18-11 18-2 7-7 11-4 12-8 0.000

5. 19. VA Tech (5MW) 105.41 106.92 105.23 107.46 103.36 23-7 14-2 16-13 12-6 9-7 7-6 7-10 0.000
12. 53. New Mexico St.* (12MW, WAC)100.54 114.75 100.71 101.96 99.12 27-4 16-1 15-13 15-1 6-8 9-5 7-9 0.000

Sub-regional in Tulsa 3/22-24:
2. 6. Texas Tech* (2MW, Big 12) 109.37 120.88 108.51 111.29 107.45 26-5 17-1 16-15 14-4 9-9 7-6 11-7 0.000
15. 127. Bradley*** (15MW, MVC) 94.09 98.19 92.75 95.25 92.92 20-14 10-6 15-16 12-9 5-10 10-6 11-9 0.000

7. 27. Mississippi St. (7MW) 103.68 103.39 103.29 105.52 101.85 22-9 15-3 15-13 10-8 8-7 7-6 9-7 0.000
10. 39. Florida (10MW) 102.21 101.89 99.74 102.93 101.49 17-14 10-6 12-18 9-9 4-12 8-6 6-11 0.000

Sub-Regional in Des Moines 3/21-23:
3. 10. Purdue (3MW) 107.68 111.59 105.97 110.28 105.08 23-8 15-0 18-13 16-4 11-4 7-9 11-9 0.000
14. 96. Nebraska-Omaha** (14MW, Summit)96.53 93.07 95.61 98.26 94.81 21-10 11-2 17-12 15-3 7-5 10-7 12-6 0.000

6. 23. Cincinnati (6MW) 104.42 104.25 104.72 106.32 102.52 25-6 16-2 12-19 14-4 7-11 5-8 5-13 0.000
11. 41. Dayton (11MW) 102.13 97.85 100.44 102.15 102.11 21-10 13-4 16-14 13-5 7-9 9-5 10-8 0.000
South Regional (Finals in Louisville 3/28-30):
Sub-Regional in Des Moines 3/21-23:
1. 3. Michigan St.* (1S, Big 10) 110.52 112.91 109.54 112.44 108.61 25-6 15-1 23-8 16-4 12-4 11-4 15-5 0.000
16. 136. Gardner-Webb*** (16S, Big South)93.72 88.57 92.03 96.26 91.18 23-11 14-0 18-13 14-6 6-5 12-8 11-9 0.000

8. 31. Xavier (8S) 103.19 110.66 99.77 105.06 101.31 17-14 12-5 14-16 9-9 7-9 7-7 10-8 0.000
9. 35. Wofford*+ (9S, Southern) 102.58 118.89 102.04 103.60 101.56 29-4 15-1 20-10 21-0 6-7 14-3 15-6 0.000

Sub-Regional in Jacksonville 3/21-23:
4. 15. Houston* (4S, American) 106.25 103.95 108.02 107.28 105.21 29-2 19-1 17-12 16-2 8-10 9-2 11-7 0.000
13. 74. Hofstra* (13S, Colonial) 98.24 86.03 100.14 99.84 96.63 27-6 15-1 18-14 17-3 8-7 10-7 8-12 0.000

5. 17. Tennessee (5MW) 105.61 105.75 108.61 108.15 103.06 27-4 18-0 15-13 15-3 8-7 7-6 9-9 0.000
vs. winner of play-in game in Dayton Wed 3/20:
12. 47. Iowa (12PS) 101.53 94.81 103.92 103.56 99.49 21-10 14-4 12-19 10-10 6-12 6-7 7-13 0.000
12. 48. Baylor (12PS) 101.37 102.58 101.58 102.21 100.53 19-12 12-5 16-13 10-8 7-9 9-4 9-7 0.000

Sub-Regional in Columbus 3/22-24:
2. 5. Kentucky (2S) 109.49 109.13 109.26 111.47 107.51 26-5 17-1 15-16 15-3 8-10 7-6 8-10 0.000
15. 126. Old Dominion* (15S, C-USA) 94.11 93.92 96.75 95.86 92.36 23-8 14-2 11-18 13-5 7-7 4-11 3-14 0.000

7. 22. Oklahoma (7S) 104.93 105.52 103.40 107.52 102.33 19-12 11-4 18-11 7-11 9-6 9-5 7-10 0.000
10. 38. Clemson (10S) 102.22 103.29 100.83 104.48 99.96 19-12 13-4 14-17 9-9 8-9 6-8 10-8 0.000

Sub-Regional in Hartford 3/21-23:
3. 9. Duke (3S) 108.40 110.69 111.51 109.50 107.30 26-5 16-2 17-13 14-4 10-7 7-6 8-9 0.000
14. 101. Iona*+ (14S, MAAC) 96.06 98.22 90.58 97.69 94.42 17-15 8-3 14-17 15-6 6-5 8-12 13-8 0.000

6. 21. Auburn (6S) 104.99 102.25 103.95 107.84 102.13 22-9 15-2 15-14 11-7 10-5 5-9 9-9 0.000
11. 44. Colorado (11S) 101.90 85.86 99.36 105.11 98.69 19-11 13-2 16-13 10-8 11-3 5-10 10-8 0.000
West Regional (Finals in Anaheim 3/28-30):
Sub-regional in San Jose 3/22-24:
1. 4. Gonzaga* (1W, WCC) 110.43 119.08 109.78 112.09 108.77 30-2 17-0 21-10 17-0 13-3 8-7 10-6 0.000
16. 142. Montana* (16W, Big Sky) 93.42 84.60 95.09 94.13 92.71 23-8 11-2 13-16 16-4 4-7 9-9 10-10 0.000

8. 30. UC-Irvine* (8W, Big West) 103.20 98.47 100.53 103.57 102.84 27-5 12-2 18-12 15-1 8-4 10-8 10-5 0.000
9. 33. Oregon (9W) 103.11 85.20 101.10 105.09 101.13 19-12 13-4 13-17 10-8 7-9 6-8 9-9 0.000

Sub-Regional in San Jose 3/22-24:
4. 15. Wisconsin (4W) 106.37 105.47 106.04 107.94 104.81 22-9 12-3 16-15 14-6 7-8 9-7 10-10 0.000
13. 91. Vermont* (13W, America East)96.81 100.40 98.82 98.06 95.57 25-6 14-2 17-11 15-2 9-5 8-6 9-8 0.000

5. 19. LSU* (5W, SEC) 105.39 108.94 106.61 105.71 105.07 26-5 15-2 20-11 16-2 8-9 12-2 13-5 0.000
12. 45. Marquette (12W) 101.63 100.96 105.15 102.88 100.37 23-8 16-3 17-14 12-6 11-8 6-6 10-8 0.000

Sub-Regional in Jacksonville 3/21/23:
2. 8. Florida St. (2W) 108.50 115.83 107.11 111.20 105.80 25-6 15-1 13-18 13-5 7-9 6-9 9-9 0.000
15. 111. Liberty*** (15W, A-Sun) 95.46 95.44 95.87 95.91 95.02 28-6 17-2 17-14 17-2 6-10 11-4 9-10 0.000

7. 26. Maryland (7W) 104.13 103.93 104.96 106.31 101.95 22-9 16-3 17-14 13-7 10-9 7-5 13-7 0.000
10. 37. Iowa St. (10W) 102.32 99.89 103.75 103.83 100.81 20-11 12-4 16-15 9-9 9-7 7-8 8-10 0.000

Sub-Regional in Salt Lake City 3/21-23:
3. 12. Kansas (3W) 106.97 109.75 108.58 111.29 102.65 23-8 17-0 12-18 12-6 8-8 4-10 7-10 0.000
14. 109. Colgate* (14W, Patriot) 95.63 95.01 94.28 97.70 93.57 23-10 14-1 17-15 15-5 8-6 9-9 11-9 0.000

6. 25. Nevada* (6W, Mountain West)104.16 93.48 106.65 106.64 101.69 28-3 15-0 17-13 15-3 9-5 8-8 10-8 0.000
11. 43. UCF (11W) 101.99 106.12 101.88 104.53 99.45 23-7 15-2 17-12 13-5 8-8 9-4 10-8 0.000

One significant rule change this year: Whereas in the past teams hosting a sub-regional or regional could not play on the same days as said regional, that rule has been rescinded for 2019 and such may now play on the same day they are hosting a sub-regional or regional (this will allow BYU in future years to host a sub-regional or regional).

There is no mention anywhere, and especially in this official article from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com/news/basketball-men/article/2018-10-19/how-field-68-teams-picked-march-madness) of whether or not a team with a losing record can be an at-large. This is now very notable with Penn State, at 14-17 actually the first school out at this time.

BYU due to religious beliefs must be slotted in a Thursday-Saturday regional (Louisville or Anaheim) and before it a Thursday-Saturday sub-regional. BYU is not allowed to play on Sundays and is why the west regional is always Thursday-Saturday.

Dayton can play in the “first four” on their home floor and except for the final four is the only allowable such instance.

Officially IN the field of 68 as Conference Tournament Champion:
35. Wofford*+ (9S, Southern) 102.58 118.89 102.04 103.60 101.56 29-4 15-1 20-10 21-0 6-7 14-3 15-6 0.000
61. Murray St.*** (13MW, OVC) 100.07 110.04 98.84 101.51 98.62 27-4 15-1 18-11 18-2 7-7 11-4 12-8 0.000
101. Iona*+ (14S, MAAC) 96.06 98.22 90.58 97.69 94.42 17-15 8-3 14-17 15-6 6-5 8-12 13-8 0.000
111. Liberty*** (15W, A-Sun) 95.46 95.44 95.87 95.91 95.02 28-6 17-2 17-14 17-2 6-10 11-4 9-10 0.000
127. Bradley*** (15MW, MVC) 94.09 98.19 92.75 95.25 92.92 20-14 10-6 15-16 12-9 5-10 10-6 11-9 0.000
136. Gardner-Webb*** (16S, Big South)93.72 88.57 92.03 96.26 91.18 23-11 14-0 18-13 14-6 6-5 12-8 11-9 0.000

Conference Champions that are locks to be in no matter what:
1. Virginia* (1E, ACC) 116.54 120.29 114.85 117.48 115.60 28-2 15-1 20-9 16-2 9-7 11-2 11-6 0.000
3. Michigan St.* (1S, Big 10) 110.52 112.91 109.54 112.44 108.61 25-6 15-1 23-8 16-4 12-4 11-4 15-5 0.000
4. Gonzaga* (1W, WCC) 110.43 119.08 109.78 112.09 108.77 30-2 17-0 21-10 17-0 13-3 8-7 10-6 0.000
6. Texas Tech* (2MW, Big 12) 109.37 120.88 108.51 111.29 107.45 26-5 17-1 16-15 14-4 9-9 7-6 11-7 0.000
13. VCU* (4E, Atlantic 10) 106.78 113.29 104.24 108.81 104.76 25-6 16-1 20-9 16-2 10-5 10-4 13-5 0.0000
15. Houston* (4S, American) 106.25 103.95 108.02 107.28 105.21 29-2 19-1 17-12 16-2 8-10 9-2 11-7 0.000
18. Buffalo* (5E, MAC) 105.56 115.30 105.63 106.83 104.30 28-3 14-0 16-12 16-2 7-5 9-7 8-9 0.000
19. LSU* (5W, SEC) 105.39 108.94 106.61 105.71 105.07 26-5 15-2 20-11 16-2 8-9 12-2 13-5 0.000
24. Villanova* (6E, Big East) 104.20 100.68 105.19 107.68 100.71 22-9 13-2 17-13 13-5 7-7 10-6 10-8 0.000
25. Nevada* (6W, Mountain West)104.16 93.48 106.65 106.64 101.69 28-3 15-0 17-13 15-3 9-5 8-8 10-8 0.000

Conference Champions that probably need to win games in conference tournament to get an at-large bid (failing to get auto bid):
28. Washington* (7W, Pac-12) 103.66 86.01 104.38 105.12 102.21 24-7 15-2 16-14 15-3 9-7 7-7 12-6 0.000
30. UC-Irvine* (8W, Big West) 103.20 98.47 100.53 103.57 102.84 27-5 12-2 18-12 15-1 8-4 10-8 10-5 0.000
53. New Mexico St.* (12, WAC) 100.54 114.75 100.71 101.96 99.12 27-4 16-1 15-13 15-1 6-8 9-5 7-9 0.000

Conference Champions that MUST win conference tournament (not in the play-in round):
73. Harvard* (13E, Ivy League) 98.30 98.13 96.60 100.27 96.34 17-10 9-2 13-11 10-4 5-4 8-7 7-6 0.000
74. Hofstra* (13S, Colonial) 98.24 86.03 100.14 99.84 96.63 27-6 15-1 18-14 17-3 8-7 10-7 8-12 0.000
91. Vermont* (13W, America East)96.81 100.40 98.82 98.06 95.57 25-6 14-2 17-11 15-2 9-5 8-6 9-8 0.000
107. Colgate* (14, Patriot) 95.91 94.92 94.19 97.91 93.90 23-10 14-1 17-15 15-5 8-6 9-9 11-9 0.000
108. Georgia St.* (15, Sun Belt) 95.86 93.68 97.23 98.46 93.25 22-9 13-1 14-15 13-5 7-6 7-9 9-9 0.000
112. Wright St.* (15E, Horizon) 95.43 93.31 93.11 98.36 92.51 21-12 15-2 18-12 15-5 10-4 8-8 13-6 0.000
126. Old Dominion* (15S, C-USA) 94.11 93.92 96.75 95.86 92.36 23-8 14-2 11-18 13-5 7-7 4-11 3-14 0.000
142. Montana* (16W, Big Sky) 93.42 84.60 95.09 94.13 92.71 23-8 11-2 13-16 16-4 4-7 9-9 10-10 0.000

Conference Champions that would be in the play-in round in Dayton:
16. 207. Prairie View A&M* (16PMW, SWAC)89.23 86.68 87.58 90.38 88.07 19-12 10-0 16-12 17-1 5-4 11-8 12-5 0.000
16. 218. St. Francis-PA* (16PMW, NEC)88.69 90.67 88.03 90.42 86.96 18-13 12-3 13-15 14-6 5-8 8-7 10-10 0.000
16. 222. Sam Houston St.*(16P, Southland)88.55 83.01 90.37 89.49 87.60 21-10 13-2 19-9 16-2 7-5 12-4 12-6 0.000
16. 223. Norfolk St.* (16P, MEAC) 88.47 83.78 87.82 90.12 86.81 19-12 11-2 15-11 14-2 6-4 9-7 9-6 0.000

Conference Champions that failed to win or are no longer alive for automatic bid:
69. Belmont+ 99.09 107.60 99.75 100.33 97.84 26-5 13-1 16-10 17-3 6-4 10-6 11-6 0.000
101. South Dakota St.+ 96.09 90.10 96.08 98.68 93.51 24-8 14-1 14-17 14-3 6-8 8-9 7-10 0.000
141. Loyola-Chicago+ 93.46 93.73 94.78 95.77 91.15 20-13 13-4 14-18 13-7 8-8 6-10 10-10 0.000
156. Lipscomb+ 92.29 86.47 96.49 92.78 91.81 25-7 14-3 13-15 16-3 4-10 9-5 6-12 0.000
171. Campbell+ 91.19 85.91 89.60 94.26 88.12 20-12 12-2 17-11 13-5 7-4 10-7 12-6 0.000

Multiple Bids By Conference:
ACC (8)
Big 10 (8)
Big 12 (6)
SEC (6)
Big East (5)
Pac-12 (4)
American (4)
Atlantic 10 (2)
Mountain West (2)

Last four in field that do not have to play in the first round in Dayton:
42. Louisville (11E) 102.09 98.79 103.64 104.12 100.05 19-12 14-4 16-13 10-8 8-8 8-5 10-8 0.000
43. UCF (11W) 101.99 106.12 101.88 104.53 99.45 23-7 15-2 17-12 13-5 8-8 9-4 10-8 0.000
44. Colorado (11S) 101.90 85.86 99.36 105.11 98.69 19-11 13-2 16-13 10-8 11-3 5-10 10-8 0.000
45. Marquette (12W) 101.63 100.96 105.15 102.88 100.37 23-8 16-3 17-14 12-6 11-8 6-6 10-8 0.000

Last four at-large in field that must play in the first round in Dayton:
46. Seton Hall (12PE) 101.53 103.85 101.67 104.48 98.58 18-12 12-4 14-15 9-9 6-9 8-6 8-10 0.000
47. Iowa (12PS) 101.53 94.81 103.92 103.56 99.49 21-10 14-4 12-19 10-10 6-12 6-7 7-13 0.000
48. Baylor (12PS) 101.37 102.58 101.58 102.21 100.53 19-12 12-5 16-13 10-8 7-9 9-4 9-7 0.000
49. Penn St. (12PE) 100.98 109.48 97.24 102.88 99.07 14-17 9-6 14-17 7-13 6-9 8-8 11-9 0.000

First four out:
50. Georgetown 100.69 101.23 99.28 102.14 99.24 19-12 13-5 13-17 9-9 7-10 6-7 9-9 0.000
51. Davidson 100.69 94.07 101.47 103.41 97.98 23-8 14-1 15-14 14-4 8-5 7-9 10-8 0.000
52. St. Mary’s 100.67 99.16 97.99 102.60 98.74 21-11 14-3 17-14 12-5 10-6 7-8 8-9 0.000
54. Minnesota 100.50 103.16 101.20 104.07 96.93 19-12 14-3 16-15 9-11 9-8 7-7 11-9 0.000

Next four out:
55. North Carolina St. 100.50 105.31 101.93 102.11 98.89 21-10 15-4 18-12 9-9 10-9 8-3 8-9 0.000
56. Northeastern 100.47 92.95 98.55 102.14 98.79 22-10 11-2 17-14 16-4 7-6 10-8 13-6 0.000
57. Utah 100.47 82.79 99.63 101.02 99.91 17-13 10-6 15-15 11-7 7-9 8-6 12-6 0.000
58. Wichita St. 100.33 95.54 97.11 102.06 98.61 17-13 11-4 13-15 10-8 7-7 6-8 9-8 0.000

Third set of four out:
59. Memphis 100.20 100.11 98.32 103.67 96.74 19-12 15-2 17-13 11-7 11-5 6-8 8-9 0.000
60. Texas 100.16 101.23 100.36 102.37 97.94 16-15 12-6 16-15 8-10 9-9 7-6 11-7 0.000
62. Oregon St. 99.99 80.81 99.48 100.23 99.76 18-12 10-6 17-12 10-8 7-8 10-4 11-6 0.000
63. Arizona 99.79 82.56 99.44 101.26 98.32 17-14 12-5 13-18 8-10 8-9 5-9 7-11 0.000

Fourth set of four out:
64. Providence 99.71 101.02 99.10 100.33 99.09 17-14 11-6 14-17 7-11 7-10 7-7 7-11 0.000
65. Toledo 99.40 100.13 100.87 100.97 97.83 25-6 14-2 17-12 13-5 7-7 10-5 10-8 0.000
66. UCLA 99.35 82.58 98.27 101.55 97.16 16-15 13-5 11-19 9-9 9-9 2-10 7-10 0.000
67. South Carolina 99.26 97.75 97.70 101.07 97.44 16-15 11-6 14-16 11-7 7-9 7-7 12-6 0.000